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By means of the Malliavin calculus, integral representations for the likelihood function and for the derivative of the log-likelihood function are given for a model based on discrete time observations of the solution to equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-08-13 D. O. Ivanenko , A. M. Kulik

A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

The problem of error correction for Gallager's low-density parity-check codes is famously equivalent to that of computing marginal Boltzmann probabilities for an Ising-like model with multispin interactions in a non-uniform magnetic field.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-03 Marco Pretti

We describe a stochastic, dynamical system capable of inference and learning in a probabilistic latent variable model. The most challenging problem in such models - sampling the posterior distribution over latent variables - is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-26 Michael Y. -S. Fang , Mayur Mudigonda , Ryan Zarcone , Amir Khosrowshahi , Bruno A. Olshausen

We study the mixing properties of an important optimization algorithm of machine learning: the stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) with a fixed step size. The data stream is not assumed to be independent hence the SGLD is not a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

Many living and complex systems exhibit second order emergent dynamics. Limited experimental access to the configurational degrees of freedom results in data that appears to be generated by a non-Markovian process. This poses a challenge in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-29 Federica Ferretti , Victor Chardès , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Irene Giardina

The increasing availability of data presents an opportunity to calibrate unknown parameters which appear in complex models of phenomena in the biomedical, physical and social sciences. However, model complexity often leads to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Andrew B. Duncan , Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Modeling the relationship between vehicle speed and density on the road is a fundamental problem in traffic flow theory. Recent research found that using the least-squares (LS) method to calibrate single-regime speed-density models is…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-18 Zhanhong Cheng , Xudong Wang , Xinyuan Chen , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

A canonical algorithm for log-concave sampling is the Langevin Algorithm, aka the Langevin Diffusion run with some discretization stepsize $\eta > 0$. This discretization leads the Langevin Algorithm to have a stationary distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Jason M. Altschuler , Kunal Talwar

Modern imaging methods rely strongly on Bayesian inference techniques to solve challenging imaging problems. Currently, the predominant Bayesian computation approach is convex optimisation, which scales very efficiently to high dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-23 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Marcelo Pereyra

We consider locally checkable labeling LCL problems in the LOCAL model of distributed computing. Since 2016, there has been a substantial body of work examining the possible complexities of LCL problems. For example, it has been established…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Yi-Jun Chang

For reproducing the anomalous -- i.e., sub- or super-diffusive -- behavior in some stochastic dynamical systems, the Generalized Langevin Equation (GLE) has gained considerable popularity in recent years. Motivated by the question whether…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-02-05 Debabrata Panja

Nonlinear, multiplicative Langevin equations for a complete set of slow variables in equilibrium systems are generally derived on the basis of the separation of time scales. The form of the equations is universal and equivalent to that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-07 Masato Itami , Shin-ichi Sasa

A positive representation for a set of complex densities is constructed. In particular, complex measures on a direct product of U(1) groups are studied. After identifying general conditions which such representations should satisfy, several…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2018-04-18 Erhard Seiler , Jacek Wosiek

Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo (ULMC) is an algorithm used to sample from unnormalized densities by leveraging the momentum of a particle moving in a potential well. We provide a novel analysis of ULMC, motivated by two central questions:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-17 Matthew Zhang , Sinho Chewi , Mufan Bill Li , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Murat A. Erdogdu

The standard efficient testing procedures in the Generalized Inverse Gaussian (GIG) family (also known as Halphen Type A family) are likelihood ratio tests, hence rely on Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation of the three parameters of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-23 Angelo Efoevi Koudou , Christophe Ley

Capturing the correct dynamics at the Coarse-Grained (CG) scale remains a central challenge in the advancement of systematic CG models for soft matter simulations. The Generalized Langevin Equation (GLE), rooted in the Mori-Zwanzig…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-10-14 Jinu Jeong , Ishan Nadkarni , Narayana. R. Aluru

We develop a class of interacting particle systems for implementing a maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) procedure to estimate the parameters of a latent variable model. We achieve this by formulating a continuous-time…

Stochastic differential equations of Langevin-diffusion form have received significant attention, thanks to their foundational role in both Bayesian sampling algorithms and optimization in machine learning. In the latter, they serve as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Fabio V. Difonzo , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Jakub Marecek

Sampling from distributions play a crucial role in aiding practitioners with statistical inference. However, in numerous situations, obtaining exact samples from complex distributions is infeasible. Consequently, researchers often turn to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-01 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Tiefeng Jiang