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Uncertainty quantification is a key component of machine learning models targeted at safety-critical systems such as in healthcare or autonomous vehicles. We study this problem in the context of meta learning, where the goal is to quickly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Sangdon Park , Edgar Dobriban , Insup Lee , Osbert Bastani

We propose a convex optimization procedure for black-box identification of nonlinear state-space models for systems that exhibit stable limit cycles (unforced periodic solutions). It extends the "robust identification error" framework in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Ian R. Manchester , Mark M. Tobenkin , Jennifer Wang

Phase-amplitude coupling (PAC), a form of cross-frequency interaction, has been implicated in various cognitive functions and, by extension, in neural communication and information integration. Accurately detecting and characterising PAC is…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-11 Rajintha Gunawardena , Fei He

Neural networks hold great potential to act as approximate models of nonlinear dynamical systems, with the resulting neural approximations enabling verification and control of such systems. However, in safety-critical contexts, the use of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Nikolaus Vertovec , Francesco Fabiano , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

Statistical performance bounds for reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms can be critical for high-stakes applications like healthcare. This paper introduces a new framework for theoretically measuring the performance of such algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Christoph Dann , Tor Lattimore , Emma Brunskill

Guaranteeing safe behavior on complex autonomous systems -- from cars to walking robots -- is challenging due to the inherently high dimensional nature of these systems and the corresponding complex models that may be difficult to determine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Tamas G. Molnar , Aaron D. Ames

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

The Simplex Architecture is a runtime assurance framework where control authority may switch from an unverified and potentially unsafe advanced controller to a backup baseline controller in order to maintain the safety of an autonomous…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Usama Mehmood , Sanaz Sheikhi , Stanley Bak , Scott A. Smolka , Scott D. Stoller

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to quantify safety for non-linear, discrete-time stochastic systems with unknown noise distribution. We define safety as the probability that the system remains in a given region of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Licio Romao , Simeon C. Calvert , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

Today, machine learning (ML) models are increasingly applied in decision making. This induces an urgent need for quality assurance of ML models with respect to (often domain-dependent) requirements. Monotonicity is one such requirement. It…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Arnab Sharma , Heike Wehrheim

Testing black-box perceptual-control systems in simulation faces two difficulties. Firstly, perceptual inputs in simulation lack the fidelity of real-world sensor inputs. Secondly, for a reasonably accurate perception system, encountering a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Craig Innes , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

We revisit the problem of real-time verification with dense dynamics using timeout and calendar based models and simplify this to a finite state verification problem. To overcome the complexity of verification of real-time systems with…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-08-12 Indranil Saha , Janardan Misra , Suman Roy

In the optimization of dynamic systems, the variables typically have constraints. Such problems can be modeled as a Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP). This paper considers the peak Constrained Markov Decision Process (PCMDP), where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Qinbo Bai , Vaneet Aggarwal , Ather Gattami

Neural network controllers have shown potential in achieving superior performance in feedback control systems. Although a neural network can be trained efficiently using deep and reinforcement learning methods, providing formal guarantees…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-10 Han Wang , Zuxun Xiong , Liqun Zhao , Antonis Papachristodoulou

This paper gives an overview of parameter estimation and system identification for quantum input-output systems by continuous observation of the output field. We present recent results on the quantum Fisher information of the output with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-25 Hendra I. Nurdin , Madalin Guţǎ

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs

Previous research on PAC-Bayes learning theory has focused extensively on establishing tight upper bounds for test errors. A recently proposed training procedure called PAC-Bayes training, updates the model toward minimizing these bounds.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Xitong Zhang , Avrajit Ghosh , Guangliang Liu , Rongrong Wang

We provide a comprehensive review and practical implementation of a recently developed model predictive control (MPC) framework for controlling unknown systems using only measured data and no explicit model knowledge. Our approach relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Julian Berberich , Johannes Köhler , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

Systematic design and verification of advanced control strategies for complex systems under uncertainty largely remains an open problem. Despite the promise of blackbox optimization methods for automated controller tuning, they generally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Joel A. Paulson , Ali Mesbah

Simulation models, in particular agent-based models, are gaining popularity in economics. The considerable flexibility they offer, as well as their capacity to reproduce a variety of empirically observed behaviours of complex systems, give…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-20 Joel Dyer , Patrick Cannon , J. Doyne Farmer , Sebastian Schmon
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