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This paper investigates the problem of safety certification for black-box discrete-time stochastic systems, where both the system dynamics and disturbance distributions are unknown, and only sampled data are available. Under such limited…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-17 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , Jingduo Pan , Luke Ong , Arvind Easwaran , Bai Xue

We investigate the problem of establishing finite-time probabilistic safety guarantees for discrete-time stochastic dynamical systems subject to unknown disturbance distributions, using barrier certificate methods. Our approach develops a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Taoran Wu , Dominik Wagner , C. -H. Luke Ong , Bai Xue

Identifying controlled safety invariant sets (CSISs) is essential for safety-critical systems. This paper addresses the problem of computing CSISs for black-box discrete-time systems, where the dynamics are unknown and only limited…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Taoran Wu , Yiling Xue , Jingduo Pan , Dejin Ren , Arvind Easwaran , Bai Xue

We introduce a novel technique for verification and model synthesis of sequential programs. Our technique is based on learning a regular model of the set of feasible paths in a program, and testing whether this model contains an incorrect…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-11-04 Yu-Fang Chen , Chiao Hsieh , Ondřej Lengál , Tsung-Ju Lii , Ming-Hsien Tsai , Bow-Yaw Wang , Farn Wang

Given that machine learning algorithms are increasingly being deployed to aid in high stakes decision-making, uncertainty quantification methods that wrap around these black box models such as conformal prediction have received much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Kayla E. Scharfstein , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Reachability analysis evaluates system safety, by identifying the set of states a system may evolve within over a finite time horizon. In contrast to model-based reachability analysis, data-driven reachability analysis estimates reachable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Elizabeth Dietrich , Hanna Krasowski , Murat Arcak

We study the problem of predictive runtime monitoring of black-box dynamical systems with quantitative safety properties. The black-box setting stipulates that the exact semantics of the dynamical system and the controller are unknown, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-24 Thomas A. Henzinger , Fabian Kresse , Kaushik Mallik , Emily Yu , Đorđe Žikelić

Statistical model checking (SMC) is a technique for analysis of probabilistic systems that may be (partially) unknown. We present an SMC algorithm for (unbounded) reachability yielding probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Pranav Ashok , Jan Křetínský , Maximilian Weininger

Discrete dynamical systems are commonly used to model the spread of contagions on real-world networks. Under the PAC framework, existing research has studied the problem of learning the behavior of a system, assuming that the underlying…

This paper presents a PAC-Bayes framework for learning controllers for unknown stochastic linear discrete-time systems, where the system parameters are drawn from a fixed but unknown distribution. We derive a data-dependent high probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Yujia Luo , Ye Pu , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

The deployment of autonomous systems that operate in unstructured environments necessitates algorithms to verify their safety. This can be challenging due to, e.g., black-box components in the control software, or undermodelled dynamics…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 John Jackson , Luca Laurenti , Eric Frew , Morteza Lahijanian

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

Security verification of communication protocols in industrial and safety-critical systems is challenging because implementations are often proprietary, accessible only as black boxes, and too complex for manual modeling. As a result,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Stefan Marksteiner , Mikael Sjödin , Marjan Sirjani

Modern learning systems increasingly interact with data that evolve over time and depend on hidden internal state. We ask a basic question: when is such a dynamical system learnable from observations alone? This paper proposes a research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Elad Hazan , Shai Shalev Shwartz , Nathan Srebro

Monotone learning describes learning processes in which expected performance consistently improves as the amount of training data increases. However, recent studies challenge this conventional wisdom, revealing significant gaps in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Ming Li , Chenyi Zhang , Qin Li

Can we conclude the stability of an unknown dynamical system from the knowledge of a finite number of snapshots of trajectories? We tackle this black-box problem for switched linear systems. We show that, for any given random set of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-24 Joris Kenanian , Ayca Balkan , Raphael M. Jungers , Paulo Tabuada

We present a data-driven framework for reachability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems that requires no explicit model. A denoising diffusion probabilistic model learns the time-evolving state distribution of a dynamical system from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Yanliang Huang , Peng Xie , Wenyuan Wu , Zhuoqi Zeng , Amr Alanwar

This paper studies finite-time safety and reach-avoid verification for stochastic discrete-time dynamical systems. The aim is to ascertain lower and upper bounds of the probability that, within a predefined finite-time horizon, a system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Bai Xue

Calibrating blackbox machine learning models to achieve risk control is crucial to ensure reliable decision-making. A rich line of literature has been studying how to calibrate a model so that its predictions satisfy explicit finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Victor Li , Baiting Chen , Yuzhen Mao , Qi Lei , Zhun Deng

We investigate the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) property of scenario decision algorithms, which refers to their ability to produce decisions with an arbitrarily low risk of violating unknown safety constraints, provided a sufficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers
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