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We consider the problem of predicting a response variable from a set of covariates on a data set that differs in distribution from the training data. Causal parameters are optimal in terms of predictive accuracy if in the new distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann , Jonas Peters

We consider a high-dimensional linear regression problem. Unlike many papers on the topic, we do not require sparsity of the regression coefficients; instead, our main structural assumption is a decay of eigenvalues of the covariance matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Igor Silin , Jianqing Fan

This paper formalizes a latent variable inference problem we call {\em supervised pattern discovery}, the goal of which is to find sets of observations that belong to a single ``pattern.'' We discuss two versions of the problem and prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-10 Jonathan H. Huggins , Cynthia Rudin

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure: the first stage performs principal component analysis (PCA) and the second stage constructs a regression model whose explanatory variables are replaced by principal components…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Shuichi Kawano

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. When the input…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-06 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Foundation models often generate unreliable answers, while heuristic uncertainty estimators fail to fully distinguish correct from incorrect outputs, causing users to accept erroneous answers without any statistical guarantee. We address…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Zhiyuan Wang , Aniri , Tianlong Chen , Yue Zhang , Heng Tao Shen , Xiaoshuang Shi , Kaidi Xu

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

The latent class model has been proposed as a powerful tool for cluster analysis of categorical data in various fields such as social, psychological, behavioral, and biological sciences. However, one important limitation of the latent class…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Huan Qing

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) finds a linear mapping and maximizes the variance of the data which makes PCA sensitive to outliers and may cause wrong eigendirection. In this paper, we propose techniques to solve this problem; we use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Peratham Wiriyathammabhum , Boonserm Kijsirikul

Additive principal components (APCs for short) are a nonlinear generalization of linear principal components. We focus on smallest APCs to describe additive nonlinear constraints that are approximately satisfied by the data. Thus APCs fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Xin Lu Tan , Andreas Buja , Zongming Ma

Dimension reduction techniques are among the most essential analytical tools in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Generalized principal component analysis (PCA) is an extension to standard PCA that has been widely used to identify…

This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

Addressing the domain adaptation problem becomes more challenging when distribution shifts across domains stem from latent confounders that affect both covariates and outcomes. Existing proxy-based approaches that address latent shift rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Zahra Rahiminasab , Reza Soumi , Arto Klami , Samuel Kaski

Latent or unobserved phenomena pose a significant difficulty in data analysis as they induce complicated and confounding dependencies among a collection of observed variables. Factor analysis is a prominent multivariate statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Armeen Taeb , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Motivated by the prevalence of environments in which data is abundant while resources for storage and/or transmission might be scarce, we study linear regression when predictors, their squares, and responses are subject to single-bit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Daniel Hill , Martin Slawski

We consider the problem of identifying significant predictors in large data bases, where the response variable depends on the linear combination of explanatory variables through an unknown link function, corrupted with the noise from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Wojciech Rejchel , Malgorzata Bogdan

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-04 Matteo Barigozzi , Daniele Massacci

This work proposes a causal and recursive algorithm for solving the "robust" principal components' analysis (PCA) problem. We primarily focus on robustness to correlated outliers. In recent work, we proposed a new way to look at this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-03-03 Chenlu Qiu , Namrata Vaswani

High-dimensional, heterogeneous data with complex feature interactions pose significant challenges for traditional predictive modeling approaches. While Projection to Latent Structures (PLS) remains a popular technique, it struggles to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Farwa Abbas , Hussain Ahmad , Claudia Szabo
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