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We present both offline and online maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) techniques for inferring the static parameters of a multiple target tracking (MTT) model with linear Gaussian dynamics. We present the batch and online versions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-09 Sinan Yildirim , Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Tom Dean

Beam prediction is an effective approach to reduce training overhead in massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. However, existing beam prediction models still exhibit limited generalization ability in diverse scenarios, which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-09 Yizhu Zhao , Li Yu , Lianzheng Shi , Jianhua Zhang , Guangyi Liu

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

Precisely estimating out-of-sample upper quantiles is very important in risk assessment and in engineering practice for structural design to prevent a greater disaster. For this purpose, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution has…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Yonggwan Shin , Yire Shin , Jihong Park , Jeong-Soo Park

We give an asymptotic development of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), or any other estimator defined implicitly, in a way which involves the limiting behavior of the score and its higher-order derivatives. This development, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

An empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) estimator is utilized for efficient inference in small-area estimation. To measure its uncertainty, we need to estimate its mean squared error (MSE) since the true MSE cannot generally be…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-14 Masayo Yoshimori Hirose

In the paper, we introduce the maximum entropy estimator based on 2-dimensional empirical distribution of the observation sequence of hidden Markov model , when the sample size is big: in that case computing the maximum likelihood estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Shulan Hu , Xinyu Wang , Liming Wu

The scalability of Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) for large-scale, high-dimensional data often forces a trade-off between computational feasibility and statistical accuracy, particularly for inference on pre-specified parameters. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Bo Fu , Dandan Jiang

The generalized approximate message passing (GAMP) algorithm is an efficient method of MAP or approximate-MMSE estimation of $x$ observed from a noisy version of the transform coefficients $z = Ax$. In fact, for large zero-mean i.i.d…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Jeremy Vila , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborova

Visual latent reasoning lets a multimodal large language model (MLLM) create intermediate visual evidence as continuous tokens, avoiding external tools or image generators. However, existing methods usually follow an output-as-input latent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yanting Miao , Yutao Sun , Dexin Wang , Mengyu Zhou , Pascal Poupart , Lei Lv , Qi Zhao , Li Wang , Hao Li , Xiaoxi Jiang , Guanjun Jiang

A recent article on generalised linear mixed model asymptotics, Jiang et al. (2022), derived the rates of convergence for the asymptotic variances of maximum likelihood estimators. If $m$ denotes the number of groups and $n$ is the average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Luca Maestrini , Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

In this work we propose an approximate Minimum Mean-Square Error (MMSE) filter for linear dynamic systems with Gaussian Mixture noise. The proposed estimator tracks each component of the Gaussian Mixture (GM) posterior with an individual…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-26 Leila Pishdad , Fabrice Labeau

Likelihood-free inference methods typically make use of a distance between simulated and real data. A common example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), which has previously been used for approximate Bayesian computation, minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 Ayush Bharti , Masha Naslidnyk , Oscar Key , Samuel Kaski , François-Xavier Briol

Simulating the time evolution of physical systems is pivotal in many scientific and engineering problems. An open challenge in simulating such systems is their multi-resolution dynamics: a small fraction of the system is extremely dynamic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Tailin Wu , Takashi Maruyama , Qingqing Zhao , Gordon Wetzstein , Jure Leskovec

We consider the consistency properties of a regularised estimator for the simultaneous identification of both changepoints and graphical dependency structure in multivariate time-series. Traditionally, estimation of Gaussian Graphical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-18 Alex J. Gibberd , Sandipan Roy

In practice, there often exist unobserved variables, also termed hidden variables, associated with both the response and covariates. Existing works in the literature mostly focus on linear regression with hidden variables. However, when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Inbeom Lee , Yang Ning

The growing size of modern data brings many new challenges to existing statistical inference methodologies and theories, and calls for the development of distributed inferential approaches. This paper studies distributed inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Xiaozhou Wang , Zhuoyi Yang , Xi Chen , Weidong Liu

Maximum likelihood estimation of large Markov-switching vector autoregressions (MS-VARs) can be challenging or infeasible due to parameter proliferation. To accommodate situations where dimensionality may be of comparable order to or…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-28 Kenwin Maung
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