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Dynamic treatment regime (DTR) plays a critical role in precision medicine when assigning patient-specific treatments at multiple stages and optimizing a long term clinical outcome. However, most of existing work about DTRs have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Chang Wang , Lu Wang

While kidney transplants are seen as the best treatment option for patients with end-stage renal disease and kidney failure, the organ's health depends on the dosage of immunosuppressant drugs post-transplantation. Due to the dosage…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-19 Kapil Panda , Anirudh Mazumder

Purpose: We propose a general framework for quantifying predictive uncertainties of dose-related quantities and leveraging this information in a dose mimicking problem in the context of automated radiation therapy treatment planning.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-09-08 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jiangyan Zhao , Xian Shi , Jin Xu

Comorbid chronic conditions are common among people with type 2 diabetes. We developed an Artificial Intelligence algorithm, based on Reinforcement Learning (RL), for personalized diabetes and multi-morbidity management with strong…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Hua Zheng , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Wei Xie , Judy Zhong

Black box optimization (BBO) focuses on optimizing unknown functions in high-dimensional spaces. In many applications, sampling the unknown function is expensive, imposing a tight sample budget. Ongoing work is making progress on reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Rajalaxmi Rajagopalan , Yu-Lin Wei , Romit Roy Choudhury

Kernel approximation methods create explicit, low-dimensional kernel feature maps to deal with the high computational and memory complexity of standard techniques. This work studies a supervised kernel learning methodology to optimize such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Mert Al , Zejiang Hou , Sun-Yuan Kung

We consider the problem of learning how to optimally allocate treatments whose cost is uncertain and can vary with pre-treatment covariates. This setting may arise in medicine if we need to prioritize access to a scarce resource that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Hao Sun , Evan Munro , Georgy Kalashnov , Shuyang Du , Stefan Wager

We consider a dose-optimization design for first-in-human oncology trial that aims to identify a suitable dose for late-phase drug development. The proposed approach, called the Pharmacometrics-Enabled DOse OPtimization (PEDOOP) design,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Shijie Yuan , Zhanbo Huang , Jiaxin Liu , Yuan Ji

Cancer pathology is unique to a given individual, and developing personalized diagnostic and treatment protocols are a primary concern. Mathematical modeling and simulation is a promising approach to personalized cancer medicine. Yet, the…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-03 Alvaro Köhn-Luque , Xiaoran Lai , Arnoldo Frigessi

Personalized medicine aims to tailor treatments to individual patients, especially when people respond heterogeneously to therapies. A key objective is to learn individualized treatment rules that recommend optimal treatments from patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Zhu Wang

The keyboard design is a novel phase I dose-finding method that is simple and has good operating characteristics. This paper studies theoretical properties of the keyboard design, including the optimality of its decision rules, coherence in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Haitao Pan , Ruitao Lin , Ying Yuan

In this work, we present our various contributions to the objective of building a decision support tool for the diagnosis of rare diseases. Our goal is to achieve a state of knowledge where the uncertainty about the patient's disease is…

Optimal biomarker combinations for treatment-selection can be derived by minimizing total burden to the population caused by the targeted disease and its treatment. However, when multiple biomarkers are present, including all in the model…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-07 Sayan Dasgupta , Ying Huang

In medical treatment and elsewhere, it has become standard to base treatment intensity (dosage) on evidence in randomized trials. Yet it has been rare to study how outcomes vary with dosage. In trials to obtain drug approval, the norm has…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Charles F. Manski

In clinical practice, physicians make a series of treatment decisions over the course of a patient's disease based on his/her baseline and evolving characteristics. A dynamic treatment regime is a set of sequential decision rules that…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-04 Phillip J. Schulte , Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Eric B. Laber , Marie Davidian

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu

Radiation response in cancer is shaped by complex, patient specific biology, yet current treatment strategies often rely on uniform dose prescriptions without accounting for tumor heterogeneity. In this study, we introduce a meta learning…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-08-12 Hao Peng , Yuanyuan Zhang , Steve Jiang , Robert Timmerman , John Minna

Recent development in the data-driven decision science has seen great advances in individualized decision making. Given data with individual covariates, treatment assignments and outcomes, policy makers best individualized treatment rule…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Weibin Mo , Zhengling Qi , Yufeng Liu

The purpose of a phase I dose-finding clinical trial is to investigate the toxicity profiles of various doses for a new drug and identify the maximum tolerated dose. Over the past three decades, various dose-finding designs have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Yunshan Duan , Shijie Yuan , Yuan Ji , Peter Mueller