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We propose the use of the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) for online data assimilation and update of a dynamic model, preliminary identified through the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy). This data-driven technique may avoid…
In this paper, we propose a robust Kalman filtering framework for systems with probabilistic uncertainty in system parameters. We consider two cases, namely discrete time systems, and continuous time systems with discrete measurements. The…
A new application of duality relations of stochastic processes is demonstrated. Although conventional usages of the duality relations need analytical solutions for the dual processes, we here employ numerical solutions of the dual processes…
This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional…
Signal estimation from incomplete observations improves as more signal structure can be exploited in the inference process. Classic algorithms (e.g., Kalman filtering) have exploited strong dynamic structure for time-varying signals while…
We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…
This report considers linear multistep methods through time filtering. The approach has several advantages. It is modular and requires the addition of only one line of additional code. Error estimation and variable timesteps is…
This article is concerned with a new filtered two-step variational integrator for solving the charged-particle dynamics in a mildly non-uniform moderate or strong magnetic field with a dimensionless parameter $\varepsilon$ inversely…
Filtering and smoothing algorithms for linear discrete-time state-space models with skewed and heavy-tailed measurement noise are presented. The algorithms use a variational Bayes approximation of the posterior distribution of models that…
Inverse problems are more challenging when only partial data are available in general. In this paper, we propose a two-step approach combining the extended sampling method and the ensemble Kalman filter to reconstruct an elastic rigid…
The integration of mobile health (mHealth) devices into behavioral health research has fundamentally changed the way researchers and interventionalists are able to collect data as well as deploy and evaluate intervention strategies. In…
This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…
Input estimation is a signal processing technique associated with deconvolution of measured signals after filtering through a known dynamic system. Kitanidis and others extended this to the simultaneous estimation of the input signal and…
State estimation is crucial for legged robots as it directly affects control performance and locomotion stability. In this paper, we propose an Adaptive Invariant Extended Kalman Filter to improve proprioceptive state estimation for legged…
Intensive Longitudinal Data (ILD) is increasingly available to social and behavioral scientists. With this increased availability come new opportunities for modeling and predicting complex biological, behavioral, and physiological…
Ill-posed inverse problems are ubiquitous in applications. Under- standing of algorithms for their solution has been greatly enhanced by a deep understanding of the linear inverse problem. In the applied communities ensemble-based filtering…
This article introduces the sequential Kalman filter, a computationally scalable approach for online changepoint detection with temporally correlated data. The temporal correlation was not considered in the Bayesian online changepoint…
A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…
High-dimensional time-series data are becoming increasingly abundant across a wide variety of domains, spanning economics, neuroscience, particle physics, and cosmology. Fitting statistical models to such data, to enable parameter…
The input-parameter-state estimation capabilities of a novel unscented Kalman filter is examined herein on both linear and nonlinear systems. The unknown input is estimated in two stages within each time step. Firstly, the predicted dynamic…