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Recent advancements in data-driven aeroelasticity have been driven by the wealth of data available in the wind engineering practice, especially in modeling aerodynamic forces. Despite progress, challenges persist in addressing free-stream…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-14 Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal , Allan McRobie

For a learning task, Gaussian process (GP) is interested in learning the statistical relationship between inputs and outputs, since it offers not only the prediction mean but also the associated variability. The vanilla GP however struggles…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Haitao Liu , Yew-Soon Ong , Xiaomo Jiang , Xiaofang Wang

We present a framework for transfer learning based on modular variational Gaussian processes (GP). We develop a module-based method that having a dictionary of well fitted GPs, one could build ensemble GP models without revisiting any data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We introduce a high-dimensional multiplier bootstrap for time series data based on capturing dependence through a sparsely estimated vector autoregressive model. We prove its consistency for inference on high-dimensional means under two…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-14 Robert Adamek , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

We propose an efficient way to sample from a class of structured multivariate Gaussian distributions which routinely arise as conditional posteriors of model parameters that are assigned a conditionally Gaussian prior. The proposed…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-28 Anirban Bhattacharya , Antik Chakraborty , Bani K. Mallick

We present a continuation method that entails generating a sequence of transition probability density functions from the prior to the posterior in the context of Bayesian inference for parameter estimation problems. The characterization of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-27 Ben Mansour Dia

Gaussian mixtures are a powerful and widely used tool to model non-Gaussian estimation problems. They are able to describe measurement errors that follow arbitrary distributions and can represent ambiguity in assignment tasks like point set…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Tim Pfeifer , Sven Lange , Peter Protzel

Modeling count-valued time series has been receiving increasing attention since count time series naturally arise in physical and social domains. Poisson gamma dynamical systems (PGDSs) are newly-developed methods, which can well capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Rui Huang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

Inspired by the analysis of variance (ANOVA) decomposition of functions we propose a Gaussian-Uniform mixture model on the high-dimensional torus which relies on the assumption that the function we wish to approximate can be well explained…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Johannes Hertrich , Fatima Antarou Ba , Gabriele Steidl

Multi-fidelity methods are prominently used when cheaply-obtained, but possibly biased and noisy, observations must be effectively combined with limited or expensive true data in order to construct reliable models. This arises in both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-19 Kurt Cutajar , Mark Pullin , Andreas Damianou , Neil Lawrence , Javier González

In sensing applications, sensors cannot always measure the latent quantity of interest at the required resolution, sometimes they can only acquire a blurred version of it due the sensor's transfer function. To recover latent signals when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Felipe Tobar , Gonzalo Rios , Tomás Valdivia , Pablo Guerrero

A new approach on the joint estimation of partially exchangeable observations is presented by constructing pairwise dependence between $m$ random density functions, each of which is modeled as a mixture of geometric stick breaking…

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

Many real-world applications demand accurate and fast predictions, as well as reliable uncertainty estimates. However, quantifying uncertainty on high-dimensional predictions is still a severely under-investigated problem, especially when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Saurabh Deshpande , Hussein Rappel , Mark Hobbs , Stéphane P. A. Bordas , Jakub Lengiewicz

This paper presents a novel extension of multi-task Gaussian Cox processes for modeling multiple heterogeneous correlated tasks jointly, e.g., classification and regression, via multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP). A MOGP prior over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Zhijie Deng , Fengxiang He , Peng Cui , Jun Zhu

Autoencoders and their variants are among the most widely used models in representation learning and generative modeling. However, autoencoder-based models usually assume that the learned representations are i.i.d. and fail to capture the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Ba-Hien Tran , Babak Shahbaba , Stephan Mandt , Maurizio Filippone

Gaussian Processes (GPs) have been widely used in machine learning to model distributions over functions, with applications including multi-modal regression, time-series prediction, and few-shot learning. GPs are particularly useful in the…

Latent autoregressive processes are a popular choice to model time varying parameters. These models can be formulated as nonlinear state space models for which inference is not straightforward due to the high number of parameters. Therefore…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-01 Alexander Kreuzer , Claudia Czado

Gaussian process (GP) models have received increasing attention in recent years due to their superb prediction accuracy and modeling flexibility. To address the computational burdens of GP models for large-scale datasets, distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

We develop a robust data fusion algorithm for field reconstruction of multiple physical phenomena. The contribution of this paper is twofold: First, we demonstrate how multi-spatial fields which can have any marginal distributions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-11 Pengfei Zhang , Gareth W. Peters , Ido Nevat , Keng Boon Teo , Yixin Wang