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We consider the problem of computing reach-avoid probabilities for iterative predictions made with Bayesian neural network (BNN) models. Specifically, we leverage bound propagation techniques and backward recursion to compute lower bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Nicola Paoletti , Alessandro Abate , Marta Kwiatkowska

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Neural networks (NNs) are making a large impact both on research and industry. Nevertheless, as NNs' accuracy increases, it is followed by an expansion in their size, required number of compute operations and energy consumption. Increase in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Martin Ferianc , Anush Sankaran , Olivier Mastropietro , Ehsan Saboori , Quentin Cappart

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Geoff A. Jarrad

Despite recent innovations in network architectures and loss functions, training RNNs to learn long-term dependencies remains difficult due to challenges with gradient-based optimisation methods. Inspired by the success of Deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-24 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In many important graph data processing applications the acquired information includes both node features and observations of the graph topology. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are designed to exploit both sources of evidence but they do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Eli Chien , Jianhao Peng , Pan Li , Olgica Milenkovic

Generated networks are widely used in network-based research as a convenient simulation environment. Generating universal networks that more accurately reflect real-world patterns is a cornerstone task. This study proposes a vari-linear…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-27 Jinhu Ren , Linyuan Lü

Selection of appropriate link function for binary regression remains an important issue for data analysis and its influence on related inference. We prescribe a new data-driven methodology to search for the same, considering some popular…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-18 Ardhendu Banerjee , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

We consider the problem of whether a Neural Network (NN) model satisfies global individual fairness. Individual Fairness suggests that similar individuals with respect to a certain task are to be treated similarly by the decision model. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Haitham Khedr , Yasser Shoukry

Feedforward neural networks (FNNs) can be viewed as non-linear regression models, where covariates enter the model through a combination of weighted summations and non-linear functions. Although these models have some similarities to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 Andrew McInerney , Kevin Burke

In the context of survival analysis, data-driven neural network-based methods have been developed to model complex covariate effects. While these methods may provide better predictive performance than regression-based approaches, not all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Jesse Islam , Maxime Turgeon , Robert Sladek , Sahir Bhatnagar

We present an algorithm for model-based reinforcement learning that combines Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with random roll-outs and stochastic optimization for policy learning. The BNNs are trained by minimizing $\alpha$-divergences,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-09 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) were recently proposed as a new paradigm for machine learning. Instead of training the network to an observed training set, a fixed model is pre-trained offline on small, simulated training sets from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-19 Thomas Nagler

The prediction of crop yields internationally is a crucial objective in agricultural research. Thus, this study implements 6 regression models (Linear, Tree, Gradient Descent, Gradient Boosting, K Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest) to…

As we gain access to a greater depth and range of health-related information about individuals, three questions arise: (1) Can we build better models to predict individual-level risk of ill health? (2) How much data do we need to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-27 Mark Green

With the widespread use of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for representation learning from network data, the fairness of GNN models has raised great attention lately. Fair GNNs aim to ensure that node representations can be accurately…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Guixian Zhang , Guan Yuan , Debo Cheng , Lin Liu , Jiuyong Li , Shichao Zhang

Structure learning is essential for Bayesian networks (BNs) as it uncovers causal relationships, and enables knowledge discovery, predictions, inferences, and decision-making under uncertainty. Two novel algorithms, FSBN and SSBN, based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Minn Sein , Fu Shunkai

When applying machine learning to problems in NLP, there are many choices to make about how to represent input texts. These choices can have a big effect on performance, but they are often uninteresting to researchers or practitioners who…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Dani Yogatama , Noah A. Smith
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