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This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

This paper studies the problem of stabilizing a continuous-time switched linear system by quantized output feedback. We assume that the quantized outputs and the switching signal are available to the controller at all time. We develop an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-03-20 Masashi Wakaiki , Yutaka Yamamoto

Combining efficient and safe control for safety-critical systems is challenging. Robust methods may be overly conservative, whereas probabilistic controllers require a trade-off between efficiency and safety. In this work, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Tim Brüdigam , Robert Jacumet , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Stochastic simulation aims to compute output performance for complex models that lack analytical tractability. To ensure accurate prediction, the model needs to be calibrated and validated against real data. Conventional methods approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Yuanlu Bai , Tucker Balch , Haoxian Chen , Danial Dervovic , Henry Lam , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Symbolic approaches to the control design over complex systems employ the construction of finite-state models that are related to the original control systems, then use techniques from finite-state synthesis to compute controllers…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-02-18 Majid Zamani , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Rupak Majumdar , Alessandro Abate , John Lygeros

We examine synchronization between identical chaotic systems. A rigorous criteria is presented which, if satisfied, guarantees that the coupling produces linearly stable synchronous motion. The criteria can also be used to design couplings…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-30 Reggie Brown , Nikolai F. Rulkov

We propose a certainty-equivalence scheme for adaptive control of scalar linear systems subject to additive, i.i.d. Gaussian disturbances and bounded control input constraints, without requiring prior knowledge of the bounds of the system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular method for uncertainty quantification with machine learning models. While conformal prediction provides probabilistic guarantees regarding the coverage of the true label, these guarantees are agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Aditya T. Vadlamani , Anutam Srinivasan , Pranav Maneriker , Ali Payani , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

The equivalent split-circuit formulation is a novel approach that has recently been applied to a range of power system related problems. As a result, a linear and a nonlinear method for power system state estimation with simultaneous…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-24 Aleksandar Jovicic , Marko Jereminov , Larry Pileggi , Gabriela Hug

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

This paper describes a new approach to solving some stochastic optimization problems for linear dynamic system with various parametric uncertainties. Proposed approach is based on application of tensor formalism for creation the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-09-15 Vadim Yatsenko

Calibration and validation techniques are crucial in assessing the descriptive and predictive power of car-following models and their suitability for analyzing traffic flow. Using real and generated floating-car and trajectory data, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-21 Martin Treiber , Arne Kesting

Stochastic simulation methods can be applied successfully to model exact spatio-temporally resolved reaction-diffusion systems. However, in many cases, these methods can quickly become extremely computationally intensive with increasing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-29 Jonathan U. Harrison , Christian A. Yates

Improving the accuracy of forecast models for physical systems such as the atmosphere is a crucial ongoing effort. Errors in state estimation for these often highly nonlinear systems has been the primary focus of recent research, but as…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-02-08 Nicholas A. Allgaier , Kameron D. Harris , Christopher M. Danforth

With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Prasanna Sattigeri , Peer-Timo Bremer

This paper contrasts recursive state space models and direct multi-step predictors for linear predictive control. We provide a tutorial exposition for both model structures to solve the following problems: 1. stochastic optimal control; 2.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-09 Johannes Köhler , Kim P. Wabersich , Julian Berberich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control method for linear systems affected by additive Gaussian disturbances that optimizes over disturbance feedback matrices online. Closed-loop satisfaction of probabilistic constraints…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Marcell Bartos , Alexandre Didier , Jerome Sieber , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

A basic result in synchronization of linear systems via output coupling is presented. For identical discrete-time linear systems that are detectable from their outputs and neutrally stable, it is shown that a linear output feedback law…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-01-21 S. Emre Tuna

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We address an optimal control problem for linear stochastic systems with unknown noise distributions and joint chance constraints using conformal prediction. Our approach involves designing a feedback controller to maintain an error system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-10 Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Pantelis Sopasakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas