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Recent research has established the effectiveness of machine learning for data-driven prediction of the future evolution of unknown dynamical systems, including chaotic systems. However, these approaches require large amounts of measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Daniel Canaday , Andrew Pomerance , Michelle Girvan

In numerical modeling of the Earth System, many processes remain unknown or ill represented (let us quote sub-grid processes, the dependence to unknown latent variables or the non-inclusion of complex dynamics in numerical models) but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-19 Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Jérôme Sirven

We construct a data-driven dynamical system model for a macroscopic variable the Reynolds number of a high-dimensionally chaotic fluid flow by training its scalar time-series data. We use a machine-learning approach, the reservoir computing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-01 Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

Dynamical weather and climate prediction models underpin many studies of the Earth system and hold the promise of being able to make robust projections of future climate change based on physical laws. However, simulations from these models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter A. G. Watson

The wave properties of complex scattering systems that are large compared to the wavelength, and show chaos in the classical limit, are extremely sensitive to system details. A solution to the wave equation for a specific configuration can…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-12-24 Shukai Ma , Bo Xiao , Ron Hong , Bisrat Addissie , Zachary Drikas , Thomas Antonsen , Edward Ott , Steven Anlage

Recent research has demonstrated Reservoir Computing's capability to model various chaotic dynamical systems, yet its application to Hamiltonian systems remains relatively unexplored. This paper investigates the effectiveness of Reservoir…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Abrari Noor Hasmi , Hadi Susanto

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

Reduced order models are computationally inexpensive approximations that capture the important dynamical characteristics of large, high-fidelity computer models of physical systems. This paper applies machine learning techniques to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-11 Azam Moosavi , Razvan Stefanescu , Adrian Sandu

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Reservoir computing has proven effective for tasks such as time-series prediction, particularly in the context of chaotic systems. However, conventional reservoir computing frameworks often face challenges in achieving high prediction…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-28 Felix Köster , Kazutaka Kanno , Atsushi Uchida

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

Reduced-order dynamical models play a central role in developing our understanding of predictability of climate irrespective of whether we are dealing with the actual climate system or surrogate climate-models. In this context, the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-11 B. T. Nadiga

Predictive simulations of complex systems are essential for applications ranging from weather forecasting to drug design. The veracity of these predictions hinges on their capacity to capture the effective system dynamics. Massively…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-10-20 Pantelis R. Vlachas , Georgios Arampatzis , Caroline Uhler , Petros Koumoutsakos

Reliable prediction of large chaotic sytems in the short to middle time range is of interest in a number of fields, including climate, ecology, seismology, and economics. In this paper, results from chaos theory, and statistical theory are…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-17 M. LuValle

We propose a new reservoir computing method for forecasting high-resolution spatiotemporal datasets. By combining multi-resolution inputs from coarser to finer layers, our architecture better captures both local and global dynamics. Applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Nicola Alboré , Gabriele Di Antonio , Fabrizio Coccetti , Andrea Gabrielli

Reservoir computing (RC) is known as a powerful machine learning approach for learning complex dynamics from limited data. Here, we use RC to predict highly stochastic dynamics of cell shapes. We find that RC is able to predict the steady…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-09-17 Hoony Kang , Keshav Srinivasan , Wolfgang Losert

We propose and demonstrate a nonlinear control method that can be applied to unknown, complex systems where the controller is based on a type of artificial neural network known as a reservoir computer. In contrast to many modern…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-07 Daniel Canaday , Andrew Pomerance , Daniel J Gauthier

Reservoir computing is a very promising approach for the prediction of complex nonlinear dynamical systems. Besides capturing the exact short-term trajectories of nonlinear systems, it has also proved to reproduce its characteristic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-19 Alexander Haluszczynski , Jonas Aumeier , Joschka Herteux , Christoph Räth

We attempt to achieve isochronal synchronization between a drive system unidirectionally coupled to a response system, under the assumption that limited knowledge on the states of the drive is available at the response. Machine learning…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-10-17 Amirhossein Nazerian , Chad Nathe , Joseph D. Hart , Francesco Sorrentino

Surrogate modeling of non-linear oscillator networks remains challenging due to discrepancies between simplified analytical models and real-world complexity. To bridge this gap, we investigate hybrid reservoir computing, combining reservoir…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-20 Andrew Shannon , Conor Houghton , David Barton , Martin Homer