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We develop a stochastic epidemic model progressing over dynamic networks, where infection rates are heterogeneous and may vary with individual-level covariates. The joint dynamics are modeled as a continuous-time Markov chain such that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Alexander Volfovsky , Jason Xu

As researchers collect increasingly large molecular data sets to reconstruct the Tree of Life, the heterogeneity of signals in the genomes of diverse organisms poses challenges for traditional phylogenetic analysis. A class of phylogenetic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-09-11 Liang Liu , Zhenxiang Xi , Shaoyuan Wu , Charles Davis , Scott V. Edwards

The reconstruction of a species phylogeny from genomic data faces two significant hurdles: 1) the trees describing the evolution of each individual gene--i.e., the gene trees--may differ from the species phylogeny and 2) the molecular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Gautam Dasarathy , Elchanan Mossel , Robert Nowak , Sebastien Roch

The recursive and hierarchical structure of full rooted trees is applicable to represent statistical models in various areas, such as data compression, image processing, and machine learning. In most of these cases, the full rooted tree is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-24 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Akira Kamatsuka , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Reversible Markov chains play a central role in stochastic modelling and in algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Motivated by the fundamental importance of reversibility in classical settings, this paper develops a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Damjan Škulj

The context tree source is a source model in which the occurrence probability of symbols is determined from a finite past sequence, and is a broader class of sources that includes i.i.d. and Markov sources. The proposed source model in this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Koshi Shimada , Shota Saito , Toshiyasu Matsushima

RNA motifs typically consist of short, modular patterns that include base pairs formed within and between modules. Estimating the abundance of these patterns is of fundamental importance for assessing the statistical significance of matches…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Manuel Lladser , M. D. Betterton , Rob Knight

Background: Continuous traits evolution of a group of taxa that are correlated through a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled using parametric stochastic differential equations to represent deterministic change of trait through time,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-03 Bayu Brahmantio , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Etka Yapar

As an alternative to parsimony analyses, stochastic models have been proposed (Lewis, 2001), (Nylander, et al., 2004) for morphological characters, so that maximum likelihood or Bayesian analyses may be used for phylogenetic inference. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-12-20 Elizabeth S. Allman , Mark T. Holder , John A. Rhodes

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Variation in the evolutionary process across the sites of nucleotide sequence alignments is well established, and is an increasingly pervasive feature of datasets composed of gene regions sampled from multiple loci and/or different genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-04 Brian R. Moore , Jim McGuire , Fredrik Ronquist , John P. Huelsenbeck

Reconstructing the tree of life from molecular sequences is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Modern data sets often contain a large number of genes, which can complicate the reconstruction problem due to the fact that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Constantinos Daskalakis , Sebastien Roch

Linear model trees are regression trees that incorporate linear models in the leaf nodes. This preserves the intuitive interpretation of decision trees and at the same time enables them to better capture linear relationships, which is hard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-10 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Tim Verdonck , Ruicong Yao

Phylogenetics is a branch of computational biology that studies the evolutionary relationships among biological entities. Its long history and numerous applications notwithstanding, inference of phylogenetic trees from sequence data remains…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-26 Mingyang Zhou , Zichao Yan , Elliot Layne , Nikolay Malkin , Dinghuai Zhang , Moksh Jain , Mathieu Blanchette , Yoshua Bengio

We consider stochastic processes with (or without) memory whose evolution is encoded by a finite or infinite rooted tree. The main goal is to compare the entropy rates of a given base process and a second one, to be considered as a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-21 Thomas Hirschler , Wolfgang Woess

Bayesian inference methods rely on numerical algorithms for both model selection and parameter inference. In general, these algorithms require a high computational effort to yield reliable estimates. One of the major challenges in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-09 Patricio Maturana , Brendon J. Brewer , Steffen Klaere , Remco Bouckaert

The P\'olya tree (PT) process is a general-purpose Bayesian nonparametric model that has found wide application in a range of inference problems. It has a simple analytic form and the posterior computation boils down to beta-binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Naoki Awaya , Li Ma

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

Phylogenetic networks are a type of directed acyclic graph that represent how a set $X$ of present-day species are descended from a common ancestor by processes of speciation and reticulate evolution. In the absence of reticulate evolution,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-08-11 Andrew Francis , Charles Semple , Mike Steel

The functions of proteins and RNAs are determined by a myriad of interactions between their constituent residues, but most quantitative models of how molecular phenotype depends on genotype must approximate this by simple additive effects.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-19 Adam J. Riesselman , John B. Ingraham , Debora S. Marks