Related papers: Can a Hurricane Be Managed
Extreme weather events pose significant challenges, thereby demanding techniques for accurate analysis and precise forecasting to mitigate its impact. In recent years, deep learning techniques have emerged as a promising approach for…
This paper concerns the resilience of systems with wind power upon wind reduction by evaluating the potential of corrective actions, such as generation and load dispatch, on minimizing the effects of transmission line failures. Three…
In the aftermath of a hurricane, humanitarian logistics plays a critical role in delivering relief items to the affected areas in a timely fashion. This paper proposes a novel stochastic lookahead framework that implements a two-stage…
Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…
The response of precipitation extremes to climate change is considered using results from theory, modeling, and observations, with a focus on the physical factors that control the response. Observations and simulations with climate models…
A geometric model of a physical network affected by a disaster is proposed and analyzed using integral geometry (geometric probability). This analysis provides a theoretical method of evaluating performance metrics, such as the probability…
Floating offshore wind turbines are a novel technology, which has reached, with the first wind farm in operation, an advanced state of development. The question of how floating wind systems can be optimized to operate smoothly in harsh wind…
The frequency of disruptive and newly emerging threats (e.g. man-made attacks--cyber and physical attacks; extreme natural events--hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods) has escalated dramatically in the last decade. Impacts of these events…
The period of an undamped compound pendulum has been selected to maximize the instrument's response to microseisms, when functioning as a type of horizontal seismometer. When functioning as a tiltmeter, the instrument is also capable of…
Modern society is critically dependent on the services provided by engineered infrastructure networks. When natural disasters (e.g. Hurricane Sandy) occur, the ability of these networks to provide service is often degraded because of…
Properties of the turbulent cascade of kinetic energy are studied using direct numerical simulations of three-dimensional hydrodynamic decaying turbulence with a moderate Reynolds number and the initial Mach number $M=1$. Compressible and…
We perform an objective change-point analysis on 106 years of historical hurricane number data. The algorithm we use looks at all possible combinations of change-points and compares them in terms of the variances of the differences between…
Sailboat path-planning is a natural hybrid control problem (due to continuous steering and occasional "tack-switching" maneuvers), with the actual path-to-target greatly affected by stochastically evolving wind conditions. Previous studies…
Planetary atmospheres are commonly thought to result from the efficient outgassing of cooling magma oceans. During this stage, vigorous convective motions in the molten interior are believed to rapidly transport the dissolved volatiles to…
The rapid growth of offshore wind energy requires accurate modeling of the wind resource, which can be depleted by wind farm wakes. Turbulence dissipation rate governs the accuracy of model predictions of hub-height wind speed and the…
Global deep-learning weather prediction models have recently been shown to produce forecasts that rival those from physics-based models run at operational centers. It is unclear whether these models have encoded atmospheric dynamics, or…
We propose a mechanism for the damping of short ocean gravity waves during rainstorms associated with the injection of air bubbles by rain drops. The mechanism is proposed as one of the possible explanations that ascribe to rain a calming…
Natural disasters, such as hurricanes, earthquakes and large wind or ice storms, typically require the repair of a large number of components in electricity distribution networks. Since power cannot be restored before these repairs have…
We present an optimal hybrid control approach to the problem of stochastic route planning for sailing boats, especially in short course fleet races, in which minimum average time is an effective performance index. We show that the hybrid…
We describe results from the second stage of a project to build a statistical model for hurricane tracks. In the first stage we modelled the unconditional mean track. We now attempt to model the unconditional variance of fluctuations around…