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Differential equations containing memory terms that depend nonlinearly on past states model a variety of non-Markovian processes. In this study, we present a Markovian embedding procedure for such equations with distributed delay by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Divya Jaganathan , Rahil N. Valani

This paper presents a state representation framework for Markov decision processes (MDPs) that can be learned solely from state trajectories, requiring neither reward signals nor the actions executed by the agent. We propose learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Lorenzo Steccanella , Joshua B. Evans , Özgür Şimşek , Anders Jonsson

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

We introduce a Vasicek-type short rate model which has two additional parameters representing memory effect. This model presents better results in yield curve fitting than the classical Vasicek model. We derive closed-form expressions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Akihiko Inoue , Shingo Moriuchi , Yusuke Nakamura

The unknown inputs in a dynamical system may represent unknown external drivers, input uncertainty, state uncertainty, or instrument faults and thus unknown-input reconstruction has several wide-spread applications. In this paper we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-22 Roshan A Chavan , Harish J. Palanthandalam-Madapusi

Lumping a Markov process introduces a coarser level of description that is useful in many contexts and applications. The dynamics on the coarse grained states is often approximated by its Markovian component. In this letter we derive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-31 David Andrieux

For a countable-state Markov decision process we introduce an embedding which produces a finite-state Markov decision process. The finite-state embedded process has the same optimal cost, and moreover, it has the same dynamics as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-15 Arie Leizarowitz , Adam Shwartz

We develop a diffusion approximation for systems subject to fast random resetting by small amplitudes. Equivalently, this describes systems with frequent but small catastrophes. We demonstrate the validity of the approximation by computing…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-26 Tobias Galla

We study finite memory belief approximation for partially observable (PO) stochastic optimal control (SOC) problems. While belief states are sufficient for SOC in partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs), they are generally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-07 Mintae Kim

We consider the problem of estimating the measure of subsets in very large networks. A prime tool for this purpose is the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. This algorithm, while extremely useful in many cases, still often suffers…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Ahmad Askarian , Rupei Xu , András Faragó

We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

We study the policy testing problem in discounted Markov decision processes (MDPs) in the fixed-confidence setting under a generative model with static sampling. The goal is to decide whether the value of a given policy exceeds a specified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Kaito Ariu , Po-An Wang , Alexandre Proutiere , Kenshi Abe

Many chemical reactions and molecular processes occur on timescales that are significantly longer than those accessible by direct simulation. One successful approach to estimating dynamical statistics for such processes is to use many short…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-10-03 Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Spencer C. Guo , John Strahan , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

We consider a Markov process in continuous time with a finite number of discrete states. The time-dependent probabilities of being in any state of the Markov chain are governed by a set of ordinary differential equations, whose dimension…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Fernando Lopez-Caamal , Tatiana T. Marquez-Lago

The observation of light super-partners from a supersymmetric extension to the Standard Model is an intensely sought-after experimental outcome, providing an explanation for the stabilization of the electroweak scale and indicating the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-03-01 Paul Jackson , Christopher Rogan , Marco Santoni

We propose a new multivariate time series model in which we assume that each component has a tendency to revert to the minimum of all components. Such a specification is useful to describe phenomena where each member in a population which…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-06 Torsten Kleinow , Michel Vellekoop

Reinforcement learning algorithms are commonly analyzed (and designed) under the Markov assumption. This is unrealistic, as most environments encountered in practice are either partially observable, or require function approximation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Onno Eberhard , Claire Vernade , Michael Muehlebach

Submodular function minimization is well studied, and existing algorithms solve it exactly or up to arbitrary accuracy. However, in many applications, such as structured sparse learning or batch Bayesian optimization, the objective function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Marwa El Halabi , Stefanie Jegelka

A theory of additive Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to describe statistical properties of long-range correlated systems. The convenient characteristics of such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 S. S. Melnyk , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii , S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis

A key capability of intelligent agents is operating under partial observability: reasoning and acting effectively despite missing or incomplete state observations. While recurrent (memory-based) policies learned via reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 David Leeftink , Max Hinne , Marcel van Gerven
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