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Due to the increase in data availability in urban and regional studies, various spatial panel models have emerged to model spatial panel data, which exhibit spatial patterns and spatial dependencies between observations across time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Michael Balzer , Adhen Benlahlou

We combine Bayesian prediction and weighted inference as a unified approach to survey inference. The general principles of Bayesian analysis imply that models for survey outcomes should be conditional on all variables that affect the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Rob Trangucci , Jonah Sol Gabry , Andrew Gelman

Multidimensional scaling (MDS) is widely used to reconstruct a low-dimensional representation of high-dimensional data while preserving pairwise distances. However, Bayesian MDS approaches based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) face…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Jiarui Zhang , Jiguo Cao , Liangliang Wang

Inference for spatial generalized linear mixed models (SGLMMs) for high-dimensional non-Gaussian spatial data is computationally intensive. The computational challenge is due to the high-dimensional random effects and because Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-09 Yawen Guan , Murali Haran

Bayesian modelling enables us to accommodate complex forms of data and make a comprehensive inference, but the effect of partial misspecification of the model is a concern. One approach in this setting is to modularize the model, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yang Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie

Diagnostic classification models (DCMs) offer statistical tools to inspect the fined-grained attribute of respondents' strengths and weaknesses. However, the diagnosis accuracy deteriorates when misspecification occurs in the predefined…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-08 Motonori Oka , Kensuke Okada

The choice of tuning parameters in Bayesian variable selection is a critical problem in modern statistics. In particular, for Bayesian linear regression with non-local priors, the scale parameter in the non-local prior density is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Xuan Cao , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

Environmental processes resolved at a sufficiently small scale in space and time will inevitably display non-stationary behavior. Such processes are both challenging to model and computationally expensive when the data size is large.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-21 Amanda Lenzi , Stefano Castruccio , Haavard Rue , Marc G. Genton

We consider high-dimensional regression over subgroups of observations. Our work is motivated by biomedical problems, where disease subtypes, for example, may differ with respect to underlying regression models, but sample sizes at the…

Competing risks models can involve more than one time scale. A relevant example is the study of mortality after a cancer diagnosis, where time since diagnosis but also age may jointly determine the hazards of death due to different causes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-28 Angela Carollo , Hein Putter , Paul H. C. Eilers , Jutta Gampe

Over the last decades, the challenges in applied regression and in predictive modeling have been changing considerably: (1) More flexible model specifications are needed as big(ger) data become available, facilitated by more powerful…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-07 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein , Thorsten Simon , Achim Zeileis

At present, high-dimensional global optimization problems with time-series models have received much attention from engineering fields. Since it was proposed, Bayesian optimization has quickly become a popular and promising approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Yuyang Chen , Kaiming Bi , Chih-Hang J. Wu , David Ben-Arieh , Ashesh Sinha

Identifying a low-dimensional informed parameter subspace offers a viable path to alleviating the dimensionality challenge in the sampled-based solution to large-scale Bayesian inverse problems. This paper introduces a novel gradient-based…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Olivier Zahm

Our method extends the application of random spanning trees to cases where the response variable belongs to the exponential family, making it suitable for a wide range of real-world scenarios, including non-Gaussian likelihoods. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Ruiman Zhong , Erick A. Chacón-Montalván , Paula Moraga

We show that a probabilistic version of the classical forward-stepwise variable inclusion procedure can serve as a general data-augmentation scheme for model space distributions in (generalized) linear models. This latent variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-23 Li Ma

Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

A widely-used model for determining the long-term health impacts of public health interventions, often called a "multistate lifetable", requires estimates of incidence, case fatality, and sometimes also remission rates, for multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-23 Christopher Jackson , Belen Zapata-Diomedi , James Woodcock

The BayesMortalityPlus package provides a framework for modelling and predicting mortality data. The package includes tools for the construction of life tables based on Heligman-Pollard laws, and also on dynamic linear smoothers.…

This paper extends Bayesian mortality projection models for multiple populations considering the stochastic structure and the effect of spatial autocorrelation among the observations. We explain high levels of overdispersion according to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 Zhen Liu , Xiaoqian Sun , Yu-Bo Wang