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This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

General Economics · Economics 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

This article considers the minimization of the total number of infected individuals over the course of an epidemic in which the rate of infectious contacts can be reduced by time-dependent nonpharmaceutical interventions. The societal and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Tom Britton , Lasse Leskelä

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

We study the effect of the connectivity pattern of complex networks on the propagation dynamics of epidemics. The growth time scale of outbreaks is inversely proportional to the network degree fluctuations, signaling that epidemics spread…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Marc Barthelemy , Alain Barrat , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Alessandro Vespignani

Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

Competition and collaboration are at the heart of multi-agent probabilistic spreading processes. The battle on public opinion and competitive marketing campaigns are typical examples of the former, while the joint spread of multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-17 Hanlin Sun , David Saad , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Changs in individual behavior often entangles with the dynamic interaction of individuals, which complicates the epidemic process and brings great challenges for the understanding and control of the epidemic. In this work, we consider three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-27 Bing Wang , Zeyang Xie , Yuexing Han

The study of epidemic spreading on populations of networked individuals has seen recently a great deal of significant progresses. A common point of all past studies is, however, that there is only one peak of infected density in each single…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Muhua Zheng , Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Jie Zhou , S. Boccaletti , Zonghua Liu

Understanding the interplay between human behavioral phenomena and infectious disease dynamics has been one of the central challenges of mathematical epidemiology. However, socio-cognitive processes critical for the initiation of desired…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-01 Qingchu Wu , Tarik Hadzibeganovic , Xiao-Pu Han

We study non-atomic congestion games on parallel-link networks with affine cost functions. We investigate the power of machine-learned predictions in the design of coordination mechanisms aimed at minimizing the impact of selfishness. Our…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-11 George Christodoulou , Vasilis Christoforidis , Alkmini Sgouritsa , Ioannis Vlachos

We show how one can trace in a systematic way the coarse-grained solutions of individual-based stochastic epidemic models evolving on heterogeneous complex networks with respect to their topological characteristics. In particular, we have…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andreas I. Reppas , Konstantinos Spiliotis , Constantinos Siettos

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents, and reconnecting those links with the rest of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-07-11 Damian H. Zanette

The rise of the World Airline Network over the past century has lead to sharp changes in our notions of `distance' and `closeness' - both in terms of trade and travel, but also (less desirably) with respect to the spread of disease. When…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-13 Alastair Jamieson-Lane , Bernd Blasius

A more connected world has brought major consequences such as facilitate the spread of diseases all over the world to quickly become epidemics, reason why researchers are concentrated in modeling the propagation of epidemics and outbreaks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-28 Lucila G. Alvarez Zuzek , Camila Buono , Lidia A. Braunstein

The structure of complex networks has long been understood to play a role in transmission and spreading phenomena on a graph. This behavior is difficult to model analytically and is most often modeled numerically. Such networks form an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Robert Harper , Philip Tee

Analysis of policies for managing epidemics require simultaneously an economic and epidemiological perspective. We adopt a cost-of-policy framework to model both the virus spread and the cost of handling the pandemic. Because it is harder…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-10 Jacob Janssen , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Contact tracing, the practice of isolating individuals who have been in contact with infected individuals, is an effective and practical way of containing disease spread. Here, we show that this strategy is particularly effective in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-12 Abbas K. Rizi , Leah A. Keating , James P. Gleeson , David J. P. O'Sullivan , Mikko Kivelä

Protecting interventions of many types (both pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical) can be deployed against the spreading of a communicable disease, as the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically shown. Here we investigate in detail…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-14 Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Claudio Castellano

In many epidemiological and ecological contexts, there is a trade-off between infections and interactions. This arises because the links between individuals capable of spreading infections are also often associated with beneficial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-04 Bunlang Thatchai , Christopher E. Overton , Thomas House

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard
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