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We develop a new VAR model for structural analysis with mixed-frequency data. The MIDAS-SVAR model allows to identify structural dynamic links exploiting the information contained in variables sampled at different frequencies. It also…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-05 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Andrea Bastianin , Alessandro Missale , Eduardo Rossi

Data mining, particularly the analysis of multivariate time series data, plays a crucial role in extracting insights from complex systems and supporting informed decision-making across diverse domains. However, assessing the similarity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Franck Tonle , Henri Tonnang , Milliam Ndadji , Maurice Tchendji , Armand Nzeukou , Kennedy Senagi , Saliou Niassy

This study extends and evaluates the forecasting performance of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) technique using a general non-linear form for the re- current formula. In this study, we consider 24 series measuring the monthly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-10 Donya Rahmani , Saeed Heravi , Hossein Hassani , Mansi Ghodsi

Spectral PCA (sPCA), in contrast to classical PCA, offers the advantage of identifying organized spatio-temporal patterns within specific frequency bands and extracting dynamical modes. However, the unavoidable tradeoff between frequency…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-03 Clément Guilloteau , Antonios Mamalakis , Lawrence Vulis , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Unveil, model, and comprehend the causal mechanisms underpinning natural phenomena stand as fundamental endeavors across myriad scientific disciplines. Meanwhile, new knowledge emerges when discovering causal relationships from data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Jiaxuan Liang , Jun Wang , Guoxian Yu , Shuyin Xia , Guoyin Wang

A recently developed wavelet based approach is employed to characterize the scaling behavior of spectral fluctuations of random matrix ensembles, as well as complex atomic systems. Our study clearly reveals anti-persistent behavior and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , P. Anantha Lakshmi

We calculate the distribution of current fluctuations in two simple exclusion models. Although these models are classical, we recover even for small systems such as a simple or a double barrier, the same distibution of current as given by…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Philippe-E. Roche , Bernard Derrida , Benoit Doucot

Clustering multivariate time series data is a crucial task in many domains, as it enables the identification of meaningful patterns and groups in time-evolving data. Traditional approaches, such as crisp clustering, rely on the assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-05 Ziling Ma , Ángel López-Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

The emergence of nonequilibrium phenomena in individual complex wave systems has long been of fundamental interests. Its analytic studies remain notoriously difficult. Using the mathematical tool of the concentration of measure (CM), we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-14 Ping Fang , Liyi Zhao , Chushun Tian

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is applied to a variety of blazars to examine X-ray spectral variability. Data from nine different objects are analysed in two ways: long-term, which examines variability trends across years or decades,…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-08-08 Dennis Gallant , Luigi C. Gallo , Michael L. Parker

We illustrate the efficacy of a discrete wavelet based approach to characterize fluctuations in non-stationary time series. The present approach complements the multi-fractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) method and is quite…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-04-16 P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

Continuously measured quantum systems are characterized by an output current, in the form of a stochastic and correlated time series which conveys crucial information about the underlying quantum system. The many tools used to describe…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-19 Gabriel T. Landi , Michael J. Kewming , Mark T. Mitchison , Patrick P. Potts

With their ability to handle an increased amount of information, multivariate and multichannel signals can be used to solve problems normally not solvable with signals obtained from a single source. One such problem is the decomposition…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Ljubisa Stankovic , Milos Brajovic , Milos Dakovic , Danilo Mandic

Understanding the dynamics of the land-atmosphere exchange of CO$_2$ is key to advance our predictive capacities of the coupled climate-carbon feedback system. In essence, the net vegetation flux is the difference of the uptake of CO$_2$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Leonard Schulz , Jürgen Vollmer , Miguel D. Mahecha , Karin Mora

We present a data mining technique for the analysis of multichannel oscillatory timeseries data and show an application using poloidal arrays of magnetic sensors installed in the H-1 heliac. The procedure is highly automated, and scales…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 D. G. Pretty , B. D. Blackwell

When the complete understanding of a complex system is not available, as, e.g., for systems considered in the real-world, we need a top-down approach to complexity. In this approach one may start with the desire to understand general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-22 Joachim Peinke , Mohammad Reza Rahimi Tabar , Matthias Wächter

A key step in any resonant anomaly detection search is accurate modeling of the background distribution in each signal region. Data-driven methods like CATHODE accomplish this by training separate generative models on the complement of each…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-08 Ranit Das , David Shih

The planned Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will detect gravitational wave signals from a wide range of sources. However, disentangling individual signals from the source-dominated data stream is a challenging problem and the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-11-15 Jonathan R Gair , Gareth Jones

We formulate frequency fluctuations of intramolecular vibrations of a solute by exploring the fluctuation of the electrostatic potential by solvents. We present a numerical methodology for estimating the frequency fluctuations; the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-12-18 Naoki Negishi , Daisuke Yokogawa

We show how to apply the macroscopic fluctuation theory (MFT) of Bertini, De Sole, Gabrielli, Jona-Lasinio, and Landim to study the current fluctuations of diffusive systems with a step initial condition. We argue that one has to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 B. Derrida , A. Gerschenfeld