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We introduce a random partition model for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The model is based on infinitely-many disjoint regions of the range of a latent covariate-dependent Gaussian process. Given a realization of the process, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-04 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Stochastic dynamical systems allow modelling of transitions induced by disturbances, in particular from an attracting equilibrium and crossing the stable manifold of a saddle. In the small-noise limit, the probability of such transitions is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-05 Jiayao Shao , Tobias Grafke , Robert S. MacKay

Stochastic dynamics on sparse graphs and disordered systems often lead to complex behaviors characterized by heterogeneity in time and spatial scales, slow relaxation, localization, and aging phenomena. The mathematical tools and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-06-05 Mattia Tarabolo , Luca Dall'Asta

We present a new theoretical perspective of data noising in recurrent neural network language models (Xie et al., 2017). We show that each variant of data noising is an instance of Bayesian recurrent neural networks with a particular…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-01-29 Lingpeng Kong , Gabor Melis , Wang Ling , Lei Yu , Dani Yogatama

Topological invariants such as winding numbers and linking numbers appear as charges of topological solitons in diverse nonlinear physical systems described by a unit vector field defined on two and three dimensional manifolds. While the…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2024-01-23 Radha Balakrishnan , Rossen Dandoloff , Avadh Saxena

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

We introduce a novel concept of coarse extrinsic curvature for Riemannian submanifolds, inspired by Ollivier's notion of coarse Ricci curvature. This curvature is derived from the Wasserstein 1-distance between probability measures…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Marc Arnaudon , Xue-Mei Li , Benedikt Petko

A generic approach to stochastic climate modelling is developed for the example of an idealized Atmosphere-Ocean model that rests upon Hasselmann's paradigm for stochastic climate models. Namely, stochasticity is incorporated into the fast…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-08-16 D. Crisan , D. D. Holm , P. Korn

Current continuous generative models (e.g., Diffusion Models, Flow Matching) implicitly assume that locally consistent causal mechanisms naturally yield globally coherent counterfactuals. In this paper, we prove that this assumption fails…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Rui Wu , Hong Xie , Yongjun Li

We present simple classical dynamical models to address the question of introducing a stochastic nature in a time variable. These models include noise in the time variable but not in the "space" variable, which is opposite to the normal…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Toru Ohira

We develop Bayesian predictive stacking for geostatistical models, where the primary inferential objective is to provide inference on the latent spatial random field and conduct spatial predictions at arbitrary locations. We exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lu Zhang , Wenpin Tang , Sudipto Banerjee

A study on the notion of covariant derivatives in flat and curved space-time via It\^o-Wiener processes, when subjected to stochastic processes, is presented. Going into details, there is an analysis of the following topics: (i) Besov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Edoardo Niccolai

Variational Autoencoders are one of the most commonly used generative models, particularly for image data. A prominent difficulty in training VAEs is data that is supported on a lower-dimensional manifold. Recent work by Dai and Wipf (2020)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Frederic Koehler , Viraj Mehta , Chenghui Zhou , Andrej Risteski

In the experiments on stress-induced phase transitions in SMA strips, several interesting instability phenomena have been observed, including a necking-type instability, a shear-type instability and an orientation instability. By using the…

Classical Physics · Physics 2009-10-15 Hui-Hui Dai , Zongxi Cai

The treatment of higher order perturbations of branes is considered using a covariant variational approach. This covariant variational approach brings to the forefront the geometric structure of the underlying perturbation theory, as…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2022-01-26 Riccardo Capovilla , Giovany Cruz , Edgar Yair López

We give in this paper which is the fifth in a series of eight a theory of covariant derivatives of multivector and extensor fields based on the geometric calculus of an arbitrary smooth manifold M, and the notion of a connection extensor…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. M. Moya , V. V. Fernadez , W. A. Rodrigues

Noisy labels are both inevitable and problematic in machine learning methods, as they negatively impact models' generalization ability by causing overfitting. In the context of learning with noise, the transition matrix plays a crucial role…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Jiahui Li , Tai-Wei Chang , Kun Kuang , Ximing Li , Long Chen , Jun Zhou

Using the theory of extensors developed in a previous paper we present a theory of the parallelism structure on arbitrary smooth manifold. Two kinds of Cartan connection operators are introduced and both appear in intrinsic versions (i.e.,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. V. Fernandez , A. M. Moya , E. Notte-Cuello , W. A. Rodrigues

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Abhishek Mallela , Alan Hastings

Noise in data appears to be inevitable in most real-world machine learning applications and would cause severe overfitting problems. Not only can data features contain noise, but labels are also prone to be noisy due to human input. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Weipeng Huang , Qin Li , Yang Xiao , Cheng Qiao , Tie Cai , Junwei Liang , Neil J. Hurley , Guangyuan Piao