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Related papers: An Uncertainty-Quantification Framework for Assess…

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Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a key discipline for computational modeling of complex systems, enhancing reliability of engineering simulations. In crashworthiness, having an accurate assessment of the behavior of the model uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Sergio Zlotnik , Xabier Larráyoz , Pedro Díez

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

Simulating complex physical systems is crucial for understanding and predicting phenomena across diverse fields, such as fluid dynamics and heat transfer, as well as plasma physics and structural mechanics. Traditional approaches rely on…

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Quantifying uncertainty of machine learning model predictions is essential for reliable decision-making, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, uncertainty quantification (UQ) theory has advanced significantly, building on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Alexander Fishkov , Kajetan Schweighofer , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Nikita Kotelevskii , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov

The practice of uncertainty quantification (UQ) validation, notably in machine learning for the physico-chemical sciences, rests on several graphical methods (scattering plots, calibration curves, reliability diagrams and confidence curves)…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-03-31 Pascal Pernot

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-01 Bertrand Iooss , Amandine Marrel

Graphical models have demonstrated their exceptional capabilities across numerous applications. However, their performance, confidence, and trustworthiness are often limited by the inherent randomness in data generation and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rui Xu , Jiujiu Chen , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong , Philip Yu

The statistics obtained from turbulent flow simulations are generally uncertain due to finite time averaging. The techniques available in the literature to accurately estimate these uncertainties typically only work in an offline mode, that…

Computational models are continuously integrated in the clinical space, where they support clinicians in disease diagnosis, prognosis, and prevention strategies. While assisting in clinical space, these computational models frequently use…

Medical Physics · Physics 2026-04-30 Muhammad Usman , Peter N. Castillo , Akil Narayan , Lucas H. Timmins

In this paper, we develop a machine learning-based Bayesian approach to inversely quantify and reduce the uncertainties of the two-fluid model-based multiphase computational fluid dynamics (MCFD) for bubbly flow simulations. The proposed…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-10-22 Yang Liu , Dewei Wang , Xiaodong Sun , Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Rui Hu

A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation framework for fluid-flow prediction is developed on the Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) platform. The TPU architecture is featured with accelerated dense matrix multiplication, large high…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-03-02 Qing Wang , Matthias Ihme , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Using a cyclotron based model problem, we demonstrate for the first time the applicability and usefulness of a uncertainty quantification (UQ) approach in order to construct surrogate models for quantities such as emittance, energy spread…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2018-12-13 Andreas Adelmann

On top of machine learning models, uncertainty quantification (UQ) functions as an essential layer of safety assurance that could lead to more principled decision making by enabling sound risk assessment and management. The safety and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Venkat Nemani , Luca Biggio , Xun Huan , Zhen Hu , Olga Fink , Anh Tran , Yan Wang , Xiaoge Zhang , Chao Hu

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Turbulence poses challenges for numerical simulation due to its chaotic, multiscale nature and high computational cost. Traditional turbulence modeling often struggles with accuracy and long-term stability. Recent scientific machine…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-06 Xintong Zou , Zhijie Li , Yunpeng Wang , Huiyu Yang , Jianchun Wang

Researchers have proposed several approaches for neural network (NN) based uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, most of the approaches are developed considering strong assumptions. Uncertainty quantification algorithms often perform…

The present paper describes the development of a novel and comprehensive computational framework to simulate solidification problems in materials processing, specifically casting processes. Heat transfer, solidification and fluid flow due…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Shantanu Shahane , Narayana Aluru , Placid Ferreira , Shiv G Kapoor , Surya Pratap Vanka