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This paper introduces a new modeling framework for optimization under uncertainty, called Probable Event Constrained Optimization (PECO). Unlike conventional chance-constrained formulations, which only limit the probability of constraint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Qifeng Li

Clinical decision requires reasoning in the presence of imperfect data. DTs are a well-known decision support tool, owing to their interpretability, fundamental in safety-critical contexts such as medical diagnosis. However, learning DTs…

Medical anomaly detection (AD) is crucial in pathological identification and localization. Current methods typically rely on uncertainty estimation in deep ensembles to detect anomalies, assuming that ensemble learners should agree on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-27 Yi Gu , Yi Lin , Kwang-Ting Cheng , Hao Chen

The estimation of probability densities based on available data is a central task in many statistical applications. Especially in the case of large ensembles with many samples or high-dimensional sample spaces, computationally efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-04 Daniel W. Meyer

The precision of contouring target structures and organs-at-risk (OAR) in radiotherapy planning is crucial for ensuring treatment efficacy and patient safety. Recent advancements in deep learning (DL) have significantly improved OAR…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-30 Marvin Tom Teichmann , Manasi Datar , Lisa Kratzke , Fernando Vega , Florin C. Ghesu

Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

Applying a machine learning model for decision-making in the real world requires to distinguish what the model knows from what it does not. A critical factor in assessing the knowledge of a model is to quantify its predictive uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter

Applications of data envelopment analysis (DEA) show that many inefficient units are projected onto the weakly efficient parts of the frontier when efficiency scores are computed. However this fact disagrees with the main concept of the DEA…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Vladimir E. Krivonozhko , Finn R. Førsund , Andrey V. Lychev

Differential dynamic microscopy (DDM) is a form of video image analysis that combines the sensitivity of scattering and the direct visualization benefits of microscopy. DDM is broadly useful in determining dynamical properties including the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2022-04-12 Mengyang Gu , Yimin Luo , Yue He , Matthew E. Helgeson , Megan T. Valentine

Uncertainty sets are at the heart of robust optimization (RO) because they play a key role in determining the RO models' tractability, robustness, and conservativeness. Different types of uncertainty sets have been proposed that model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Meysam Cheramin , Richard Li-Yang Chen , Jianqiang Cheng , Ali Pinar

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

This paper proposes an optimal autonomous search framework, namely Dual Control for Exploration and Exploitation (DCEE), for a target at unknown location in an unknown environment. Source localisation is to find sources of atmospheric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Wen-Hua Chen , Callum Rhodes , Cunjia Liu

Brain vessel segmentation of MR scans is a critical step in the diagnosis of cerebrovascular diseases. Due to the fine vessel structure, manual vessel segmentation is time consuming. Therefore, automatic deep learning (DL) based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-31 Omini Rathore , Richard Paul , Abigail Morrison , Hanno Scharr , Elisabeth Pfaehler

When deploying machine learning models in high-stakes real-world environments such as health care, it is crucial to accurately assess the uncertainty concerning a model's prediction on abnormal inputs. However, there is a scarcity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Dennis Ulmer , Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà

Reliable uncertainty estimation has become a crucial requirement for the industrial deployment of deep learning algorithms, particularly in high-risk applications such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis. However, mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Junyu Gao , Mengyuan Chen , Liangyu Xiang , Changsheng Xu

In this paper, we study the problem of uncertainty estimation and calibration for LLMs. We begin by formulating the uncertainty estimation problem, a relevant yet underexplored area in existing literature. We then propose a supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Linyu Liu , Yu Pan , Xiaocheng Li , Guanting Chen

In this paper we propose robust efficiency scores for the scenario in which the specification of the inputs/outputs to be included in the DEA model is modelled with a probability distribution. This proba- bilistic approach allows us to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Mercedes Landete , Juan F. Monge , José L. Ruiz

We present a critical survey on the consistency of uncertainty quantification used in deep learning and highlight partial uncertainty coverage and many inconsistencies. We then provide a comprehensive and statistically consistent framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , J. Christine Chiu , C. Kevin Yang

Initially considered as low-power units with limited autonomous processing, Edge IoT devices have seen a paradigm shift with the introduction of FPGAs and AI accelerators. This advancement has vastly amplified their computational…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Gleb Radchenko , Victoria Andrea Fill

Virtual Diagnostic (VD) is a computational tool based on deep learning that can be used to predict a diagnostic output. VDs are especially useful in systems where measuring the output is invasive, limited, costly or runs the risk of…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 Owen Convery , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal , Adi Hanuka