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With the evolution of power systems as it is becoming more intelligent and interactive system while increasing in flexibility with a larger penetration of renewable energy sources, demand prediction on a short-term resolution will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Saad Emshagin , Wayes Koroni Halim , Rasha Kashef

Electricity forecasting has been a recurring research topic, as it is key to finding the right balance between production and consumption. While most papers are focused on the national or regional scale, few are interested in the household…

Long-term load forecast (LTLF) for area distribution feeders is one of the most critical tasks frequently performed in electric distribution utility companies. For a specific planning area, cost-effective system upgrades can only be planned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , Jian Shi , QingXin Shi

Accurate forecasting of project performance metrics is crucial for successfully managing and delivering urban road reconstruction projects. Traditional methods often rely on static baseline plans and fail to consider the dynamic nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Soheila Sadeghi

Forecasting the actual amount of electricity with respect to the need/demand of the load is always been a challenging task for each power plants based generating stations. Due to uncertain demand of electricity at receiving end of station…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jaymin Suhagiya , Deep Raval , Siddhi Vinayak Pandey , Jeet Patel , Ayushi Gupta , Akshay Srivastava

According to a conservative estimate, a 1% reduction in forecast error for a 10 GW energy utility can save up to $ 1.6 million annually. In our context, achieving precise forecasts of future power consumption is crucial for operating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Lukas Moosbrugger , Valentin Seiler , Gerhard Huber , Peter Kepplinger

Estimating electricity consumption accurately is essential for the planning and operation of energy systems, as well as for billing processes. Standard Load Profiles (SLP) are widely used to estimate consumption patterns of different user…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Jawana Gabrielski , Ulf Häger

Time series forecasting remains a central challenge problem in almost all scientific disciplines. We introduce a novel load forecasting method in which observed dynamics are modeled as a forced linear system using Dynamic Mode Decomposition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Daniel Dylewsky , David Barajas-Solano , Tong Ma , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky , J. Nathan Kutz

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

Energy communities (ECs) play a key role in enabling local demand shifting and enhancing self-sufficiency, as energy systems transition toward decentralized structures with high shares of renewable generation. To optimally operate them,…

Ensuring grid stability in the transition to renewable energy sources requires accurate power demand forecasting. This study addresses the need for precise forecasting by differentiating among industrial, commercial, and residential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Asier Diaz-Iglesias , Xabier Belaunzaran , Ane M. Florez-Tapia

Data stream forecasts are essential inputs for decision making at digital platforms. Machine learning algorithms are appealing candidates to produce such forecasts. Yet, digital platforms require a large-scale forecast framework that can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-18 Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

The transition to a fully renewable energy grid requires better forecasting of demand at the low-voltage level to increase efficiency and ensure reliable control. However, high fluctuations and increasing electrification cause huge forecast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Marcel Arpogaus , Marcus Voss , Beate Sick , Mark Nigge-Uricher , Oliver Dürr

As the number of electric vehicles (EVs) continues to grow, the demand for charging stations is also increasing, leading to challenges such as long wait times and insufficient infrastructure. High-precision forecasting of EV charging demand…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Saba Sanami , Hesam Mosalli , Yu Yang , Hen-Geul Yeh , Amir G. Aghdam

Renewable-energy-based grids development needs new methods to maintain the balance between the load and generation using the efficient energy storages models. Most of the available energy storages models do not take into account such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Denis Sidorov , Qing Tao , Ildar Muftahov , Aleksei Zhukov , Dmitriy Karamov , Aliona Dreglea , Fang Liu

Forecasting electricity demand plays a critical role in ensuring reliable and cost-efficient operation of the electricity supply. With the global transition to distributed renewable energy sources and the electrification of heating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Konstantin Hopf , Hannah Hartstang , Thorsten Staake

Time series data is a prevalent form of data found in various fields. It consists of a series of measurements taken over time. Forecasting is a crucial application of time series models, where future values are predicted based on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Sahar Koohfar , Wubeshet Woldemariam

As the volatility of electricity demand increases owing to climate change and electrification, the importance of accurate peak load forecasting is increasing. Traditional peak load forecasting has been conducted through time series-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-22 Juyong Lee , Youngsang Cho

The advent of smart meters has enabled pervasive collection of energy consumption data for training short-term load forecasting (STLF) models. In response to privacy concerns, federated learning (FL) has been proposed as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Shourya Bose , Kibaek Kim

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies
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