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Related papers: Species tree estimation under joint modeling of co…

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Because biological processes can make different loci have different evolutionary histories, species tree estimation requires multiple loci from across the genome. While many processes can result in discord between gene trees and species…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-13 Md. Shamsuzzoha Bayzid , Siavash Mirarab , Bastien Boussau , Tandy Warnow

We study various types of consistency of honest decision trees and random forests in the regression setting. In contrast to related literature, our proofs are elementary and follow the classical arguments used for smoothing methods. Under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

The goal of these lectures is to review some mathematical aspects of random tree models used in evolutionary biology to model gene trees or species trees. We start with stochastic models of tree shapes (finite trees without edge lengths),…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-30 Amaury Lambert

A popular line of research in evolutionary biology is the use of time-calibrated phylogenies for the inference of diversification processes. This requires computing the likelihood of a given ultrametric tree as the reconstructed tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-01-24 Amaury Lambert , Hélène Morlon , Rampal S. Etienne

Modern biological techniques enable very dense genetic sampling of unfolding evolutionary histories, and thus frequently sample some genotypes multiple times. This motivates strategies to incorporate genotype abundance information in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-09 William S. DeWitt , Luka Mesin , Gabriel D. Victora , Vladimir N. Minin , Frederick A. Matsen

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Recently, there has been interest in extending long-known results about the multispecies coalescent tree to other models of gene trees. Results about the gene duplication and loss (GDL) tree have mathematical proofs, including species tree…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-01 Brandon Legried

Most current methods for inferring species-level phylogenies under the coalescent model assume that no gene flow occurs following speciation. While some studies have examined the impact of gene flow on estimation accuracy for certain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-12 Colby Long , Laura Kubatko

The inference of the evolutionary history of a collection of organisms is a problem of fundamental importance in evolutionary biology. The abundance of DNA sequence data arising from genome sequencing projects has led to significant…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-07 Julia Chifman , Laura Kubatko

Understanding the evolution of binary traits, which affects the birth and survival of species and also the rate of molecular evolution, remains challenging. A typical example is the evolution of mating systems in plant species. In this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-04 Daniah Tahir , Sylvain Glémin , Martin Lascoux , Ingemar Kaj

When hybridization or other forms of lateral gene transfer have occurred, evolutionary relationships of species are better represented by phylogenetic networks than by trees. While inference of such networks remains challenging, several…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-15 Elizabeth S. Allman , Hector Baños , Marina Garrote-Lopez , John A. Rhodes

With advances in sequencing technologies, there are now massive amounts of genomic data from across all life, leading to the possibility that a robust Tree of Life can be constructed. However, "gene tree heterogeneity", which is when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-08 Sebastien Roch , Michael Nute , Tandy Warnow

Inference of species networks from genomic data under the Network Multispecies Coalescent Model is currently severely limited by heavy computational demands. It also remains unclear how complicated networks can be for consistent inference…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-10 Elizabeth S. Allman , Hector Baños , Jonathan D. Mitchell , John A. Rhodes

Estimating phylogenetic trees is an important problem in evolutionary biology, environmental policy and medicine. Although trees are estimated, their uncertainties are discarded by mathematicians working in tree space. Here we explicitly…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-16 Amy D. Willis , Rayna C. Bell

The $\text{NJ}_{st}$ method was proposed by Liu and Yu to infer a species tree topology from unrooted topological gene trees. While its statistical consistency under the multispecies coalescent model was established only for a 4-taxon tree,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-20 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

Many population genetic models have been developed for the purpose of inferring population size and growth rates from random samples of genetic data. We examine two popular approaches to this problem, the coalescent and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-29 Erik M. Volz , Simon DW Frost

The coalescent is a foundational model of latent genealogical trees under neutral evolution, but suffers from intractable sampling probabilities. Methods for approximating these sampling probabilities either introduce bias or fail to scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Martina Favero , Jere Koskela

The ongoing explosion of genome sequence data is transforming how we reconstruct and understand the histories of biological systems. Across biological scales, from individual cells to populations and species, trees-based models provide a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-08 Yun Deng , Shing H. Zhan , Yulin Zhang , Chao Zhang , Bingjie Chen

A major problem for inferring species trees from gene trees is that evolutionary processes can sometimes favour gene tree topologies that conflict with an underlying species tree. In the case of incomplete lineage sorting, this phenomenon…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-03 Mike Steel , Simone Linz , Daniel H. Huson , Michael J. Sanderson

Connected acyclic graphs (trees) are data objects that hierarchically organize categories. Collections of trees arise in a diverse variety of fields, including evolutionary biology, public health, machine learning, social sciences and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Maria Alejandra Valdez Cabrera , Amy D Willis , Armeen Taeb