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We study an extension of the so-called defective Galton-Watson processes obtained by allowing the offspring distribution to change over the generations. Thus, in these processes, the individuals reproduce independently of the others and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Götz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

Despite the wealth of empirical and theoretical studies, the origin and maintenance of cooperation is still an evolutionary riddle. In this context, ecological life-history traits which affect the efficiency of selection may play a role,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-16 Thibaut Sellinger , Johannes Müller , Volker Hösel , Aurélien Tellier

Cellular differentiation and evolution are stochastic processes that can involve multiple types (or states) of particles moving on a complex, high-dimensional state-space or "fitness" landscape. Cells of each specific type can thus be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-11-17 Tom Chou , Yu Wang

Dispersal of species to find a more favorable habitat is important in population dynamics. Dispersal rates evolve in response to the relative success of different dispersal strategies. In a simplified deterministic treatment (J. Dockery, V.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-07-28 David A. Kessler , Leonard M. Sander

We introduce a new Wright-Fisher type model for seed banks incorporating "simultaneous switching", which is motivated by recent work on microbial dormancy. We show that the simultaneous switching mechanism leads to a new jump-diffusion…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-24 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

In this paper, we investigate the consequences of dormancy in the `rare mutation' and `large population' regime of stochastic adaptive dynamics. Starting from an individual-based micro-model, we first derive the polymorphic evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Jochen Blath , Tobias Paul , András Tobiás , Maite Wilke Berenguer

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

In biology and ecology, individuals or communities of individuals living in unpredictable environments often alternate between different evolutionary strategies to spread and reduce risks. Such behavior is commonly referred to as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-11 Jorge Hidalgo , Simone Pigolotti , Miguel A. Munoz

Branching processes are widely used to model the viral epidemic evolution. For more adequate investigation of viral epidemic modelling, we suggest to apply branching processes with transport of particles usually called branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Elizaveta Ermakova , Polina Makhmutova , Elena Yarovaya

During their lifetimes, individuals in populations pass through different states, and the notion of an occupancy time describes the amount of time an individual spends in a given set of states. Questions related to this idea were studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 George Chappelle , Alan Hastings , Martin Rasmussen

In this paper we study the long term dynamics of two prey species and one predator species. In the deterministic setting, if we assume the interactions are of Lotka-Volterra type (competition or predation), the long term behavior of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Alexandru Hening , Dang Nguyen , Nhu Nguyen , Harrison Watts

It is a common practice to describe branching random walks in terms of birth, death and walk of particles, which makes it easier to use them in different applications. The main results obtained for the models of symmetric continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Anastasiia Rytova , Elena Yarovaya

Learning from experience is a key feature of decision-making in cognitively complex organisms. Strategic interactions involving Bayesian inferential strategies can enable us to better understand how evolving individual choices to be…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Arunava Patra , Supratim Sengupta , Sagar Chakraborty

We study an ecology-inspired model for a population of bounded size, whose dynamics is governed by random birth, death, and immigration events. Stochastic fluctuations in the number of individuals give rise to a succession of alternating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Lucas M. Brugevin , Damián H. Zanette

Individuals within any species exhibit differences in size, developmental state, or spatial location. These differences coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates can have subtle effects on population persistence and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Gregory Roth , Sebastian J. Schreiber

Stochastic phenotype switching has been suggested to play a beneficial role in microbial populations by leading to the division of labour among cells, or ensuring that at least some of the population survives an unexpected change in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-02 Andrew C. Tadrowski , Martin R. Evans , Bartlomiej Waclaw

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

Consider a branching process $\{Z_n\}$ in a varying environment. Let $\{W_n\}$ be the natural martingale $Z_n/{\bf E}Z_n$. It converges to some random variable $W$ as $n\to\infty$. An important problem is to show that ${\bf P}(W>0)$ equals…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Y. Kirpicheva , A. Shklyaev

Microbial populations generally evolve in volatile environments, under conditions fluctuating between harsh and mild, e.g. as the result of sudden changes in toxin concentration or nutrient abundance. Environmental variability thus shapes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-07 Matthew Asker , Lluís Hernández-Navarro , Alastair M. Rucklidge , Mauro Mobilia
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