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We investigate disease spreading on eight empirical data sets of human contacts (mostly proximity networks recording who is close to whom, at what time). We compare three levels of representations of these data sets: temporal networks,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-14 Petter Holme

Changes in the timescales at which complex systems evolve are essential to predicting critical transitions and catastrophic failures. Disentangling the timescales of the dynamics governing complex systems remains a key challenge. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Giona Casiraghi , Georges Andres

The interplay of biological, social, structural and random factors makes disease forecasting extraordinarily complex. The course of an epidemic exhibits average growth dynamics determined by features of the pathogen and the population, yet…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-24 Andrea J. Allen , Mariah C. Boudreau , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Just like the degrees of human and animal interaction networks, the distribution of the times between interactions is known to often be right-skewed and fat-tailed. Both these distributions affect epidemic dynamics strongly, but, as we show…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-14 Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

Achieving safety in autonomous multi-agent systems, particularly in time-critical tasks like rendezvous, is a critical challenge. In this paper, we propose a distributionally robust risk framework for analyzing cascading failures in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-01 Vivek Pandey , Nader Motee

Bursts in human and natural activities are highly clustered in time, suggesting that these activities are influenced by previous events within the social or natural system. Bursty behavior in the real world conveys information of underlying…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Minkyoung Kim , Raja Jurdak , Dean Paini

Two node variables determine the evolution of cascades in random networks: a node's degree and threshold. Correlations between both fundamentally change the robustness of a network, yet, they are disregarded in standard analytic methods as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-08-15 Rebekka Burkholz , Frank Schweitzer

Despite the advanced stage of epidemic modeling, there is a major demand for methods to incorporate behavioral responses to the spread of a disease such as social distancing and adoption of prevention methods. Mobility plays an important…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-14 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Alberto Aleta , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Yamir Moreno

Representing social systems as networks, starting from the interactions between individuals, sheds light on the mechanisms governing their dynamics. However, networks encode only pairwise interactions, while most social interactions occur…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-29 Iacopo Iacopini , Márton Karsai , Alain Barrat

Motivated by the analysis of social networks, we study a model of random networks that has both a given degree distribution and a tunable clustering coefficient. We consider two types of growth processes on these graphs: diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

Many dynamical processes on real world networks display complex temporal patterns as, for instance, a fat-tailed distribution of inter-events times, leading to heterogeneous waiting times between events. In this work, we focus on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-25 Sarah De Nigris , Anthony Hastir , Renaud Lambiotte

We propose the Temporal Walk Centrality, which quantifies the importance of a node by measuring its ability to obtain and distribute information in a temporal network. In contrast to the widely-used betweenness centrality, we assume that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Lutz Oettershagen , Petra Mutzel , Nils M. Kriege

Epidemics seldom occur as isolated phenomena. Typically, two or more viral agents spread within the same host population and may interact dynamically with each other. We present a general model where two viral agents interact via an…

Interacting systems of events may exhibit cascading behavior where events tend to be temporally clustered. While the cascades themselves may be obvious from the data, it is important to understand which states of the system trigger them.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Alessandro Bregoli , Karin Rathsman , Marco Scutari , Fabio Stella , Søren Wengel Mogensen

Exploring the internal mechanism of information spreading is critical for understanding and controlling the process. Traditional spreading models often assume individuals play the same role in the spreading process. In reality, however,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Chang Su , Fang Zhou , Linyuan Lü

Many complex systems can be modeled by temporal networks, whose organization often evolves through distinct structural phases. Detecting the change points that delimit these phases is both important and challenging. In this work, we extend…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Samuel Koovely , Alexandre Bovet

Spreading processes, e.g. epidemics, wildfires and rumors, are often modeled on static networks. However, their underlying network structures, e.g. changing contacts in social networks, different weather forecasts for wildfires, are due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

In this work we study the topological properties of temporal hypergraphs. Hypergraphs provide a higher dimensional generalization of a graph that is capable of capturing multi-way connections. As such, they have become an integral part of…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Audun Myers , Cliff Joslyn , Bill Kay , Emilie Purvine , Gregory Roek , Madelyn Shapiro

Disasters impact communities through interconnected social, spatial, and physical networks. Analyzing network dynamics is crucial for understanding resilience and recovery. We highlight six studies demonstrating how hazards and recovery…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Chia-Fu Liu , Ali Mostafavi
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