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The paper describes a new class of capture-recapture models for closed populations when individual covariates are available. The novelty consists in combining a latent class model for the distribution of the capture history, where the class…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Antonio Forcina , Francesco Bartolucci

Capture-recapture methods aim to estimate the size of a closed population on the basis of multiple incomplete enumerations of individuals. In many applications, the individual probability of being recorded is heterogeneous in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 James E. Johndrow , Kristian Lum , Daniel Manrique-Vallier

We contribute a general and flexible framework to estimate the size of a closed population in the presence of $K$ capture-recapture lists and heterogeneous capture probabilities. Our novel identifying strategy leverages the fact that it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Mateo Dulce Rubio , Edward Kennedy

Capture-recapture studies are widely used to obtain information about abundance (population size or density) of animal populations. A common design is that in which multiple distinct populations are sampled, and the research objective is…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-27 J. Andrew Royle , Sarah J. Converse , William A. Link

Population size estimation based on the capture-recapture experiment is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, criminology, demography, etc. In many real-life scenarios, there exists inherent heterogeneity among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-01 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan

This paper deals with the estimation of population sizes for respondent-driven sampling (RDS), a variant of link-tracing sampling that leverages social networks over a number of waves to recruit individuals from hidden populations. The RDS…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Mamadou Yauck

We present a Bayesian model for estimating the joint distribution of multivariate categorical data when units are nested within groups. Such data arise frequently in social science settings, for example, people living in households. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Jingchen Hu , Jerome P. Reiter , Quanli Wang

Population size estimates for hidden and hard-to-reach populations are particularly important when members are known to suffer from disproportion health issues or to pose health risks to the larger ambient population in which they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Ian Fellows , Kirk Dombrowski

We develop a multi-state model to estimate the size of a closed population from ecological capture-recapture studies. We consider the case where capture-recapture data are not of a simple binary form, but where the state of an individual is…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-02 Hannah Worthington , Rachel S. McCrea , Ruth King , Richard A. Griffiths

Estimates of population size for hidden and hard-to-reach individuals are of particular interest to health officials when health problems are concentrated in such populations. Efforts to derive these estimates are often frustrated by a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Bilal Khan , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Kirk Dombrowski

Population size estimation based on capture-recapture experiment under triple record system is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, population studies, etc. In many real life scenarios, there exists inherent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling

Understanding posterior contraction behavior in Bayesian hierarchical models is of fundamental importance, but progress in this question is relatively sparse in comparison to the theory of density estimation. In this paper, we study two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Dat Do , Sunrit Chakraborty , Jonathan Terhorst , XuanLong Nguyen

Beliefs are important determinants of an individual's choices and economic outcomes, so understanding how they comove and differ across individuals is of considerable interest. Researchers often rely on surveys that report individual…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-13 Evan Munro , Serena Ng

Motivated by various applications, we consider the problem of homogeneous human population size (N) estimation from Dual-record system (DRS) (equivalently, two-sample capture-recapture experiment). The likelihood estimate from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-07 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Diganta Mukherjee

While non-invasive sampling is more and more commonly used in capture-recapture (CR) experiments, it carries a higher risk of misidentifications than direct observations. As a consequence, one must screen the data to retain only the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-04 Rémi Fraysse , Rémi Choquet , Carlo Costantini , Roger Pradel

Log-linear models are often used to estimate the size of a closed population using capture-recapture data. When capture probabilities are related to auxiliary covariates, one may select a separate model based on each of several post-strata.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-11 Zachary T. Kurtz

The natural subgroups often seen in mark-recapture studies and the complexity of real mark-recapture data means that parametric and discrete style models can be insufficient. Non-parametric models avoid these often restrictive assumptions.…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-24 Jessica H Ford , Toby A Patterson , Mark V Bravington

Mathematical models of biological populations commonly use discrete structure classes to capture trait variation among individuals (e.g. age, size, phenotype, intracellular state). Upscaling these discrete models into continuum descriptions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-18 Eleonora Agostinelli , Keith L. Chambers , Helen M. Byrne , Mohit P. Dalwadi

Population size estimation based on two sample capture-recapture type experiment is an interesting problem in various fields including epidemiology, pubic health, population studies, etc. The Lincoln-Petersen estimate is popularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Kiranmoy Chatterjee , Prajamitra Bhuyan
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