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The proper use of model evaluation metrics is important for model evaluation and model selection in binary classification tasks. This study investigates how consistent different metrics are at evaluating models across data of different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jing Li

Differences between biological networks corresponding to disease conditions can help delineate the underlying disease mechanisms. Existing methods for differential network analysis do not account for dependence of networks on covariates. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Aaron Hudson , Ali Shojaie

We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Damla Şentürk , Hans-Georg Müller

Whilst the size and complexity of ML models have rapidly and significantly increased over the past decade, the methods for assessing their performance have not kept pace. In particular, among the many potential performance metrics, the ML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Michael Roberts , Alon Hazan , Sören Dittmer , James H. F. Rudd , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

Many medical decisions involve the use of dynamic information collected on individual patients toward predicting likely transitions in their future health status. If accurate predictions are developed, then a prognostic mode can identify…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-22 Aasthaa Bansal , Patrick J. Heagerty

In observational studies, adjusting for confounders is required if a treatment comparison is planned. A crude comparison of the primary endpoint without covariate adjustment will suffer from biases, and the addition of regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Shiyu Shu , Toshimitsu Hamasaki , Scott Evans , Lauren Komarow , David van Duin , Guoqing Diao

Long-term treatment effect estimation is a significant but challenging problem in many applications. Existing methods rely on ideal assumptions, such as no unobserved confounders or binary treatment, to estimate long-term average treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Zeqin Yang , Weilin Chen , Ruichu Cai , Yuguang Yan , Zhifeng Hao , Zhipeng Yu , Zhichao Zou , Jixing Xu , Zhen Peng , Jiecheng Guo

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

The conditional average treatment effect (CATE) is the best measure of individual causal effects given baseline covariates. However, the CATE only captures the (conditional) average, and can overlook risks and tail events, which are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Nathan Kallus , Miruna Oprescu

A new model validation and performance assessment tool is introduced, the sliding threshold of observation for numeric evaluation (STONE) curve. It is based on the relative operating characteristic (ROC) curve technique, but instead of…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-07-17 Michael W. Liemohn , Abigail R. Azari , Natalia Ganushkina , Lutz Rastaetter

Using offline observational data for policy evaluation and learning allows decision-makers to evaluate and learn a policy that connects characteristics and interventions. Most existing literature has focused on either discrete treatment…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Cheuk Hang Leung , Yiyan Huang , Yijun Li , Qi Wu

Quantile treatment effects (QTEs) can characterize the potentially heterogeneous causal effect of a treatment on different points of the entire outcome distribution. Propensity score (PS) methods are commonly employed for estimating QTEs in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Yahang Liu , Kecheng Wei , Chen Huang , Yongfu Yu , Guoyou Qin

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is an important tool for the discrimination of two populations. However, in many settings, the diagnostic decision is not limited to a binary choice. ROC surfaces are considered as a natural…

Cellwise outliers are widespread in data and traditional robust methods may fail when applied to datasets under such contamination. We propose a variable selection procedure, that uses a pairwise robust estimator to obtain an initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Peng Su , Garth Tarr , Samuel Muller

We propose a Bayesian model that predicts recovery curves based on information available before the disruptive event. A recovery curve of interest is the quantified sexual function of prostate cancer patients after prostatectomy surgery. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-06 Fulton Wang , Tyler H. McCormick , Cynthia Rudin , John Gore

Due to label scarcity and covariate shift happening frequently in real-world studies, transfer learning has become an essential technique to train models generalizable to some target populations using existing labeled source data. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-09 Doudou Zhou , Molei Liu , Mengyan Li , Tianxi Cai

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

We consider robustness to distribution shifts in the context of diagnostic models in healthcare, where the prediction target $Y$, e.g., the presence of a disease, is causally upstream of the observations $X$, e.g., a biomarker. Distribution…

The ROC curve is widely used to assess the quality of prediction/classification/ranking algorithms, and its properties have been extensively studied. The precision-recall (PR) curve has become the de facto replacement for the ROC curve in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-23 Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver

Estimating the effect of a treatment on a given outcome, conditioned on a vector of covariates, is central in many applications. However, learning the impact of a treatment on a continuous temporal response, when the covariates suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Guangyi Zhang , Reza Ashrafi , Anne Juuti , Kirsi Pietiläinen , Pekka Marttinen
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