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Multivariate time series prediction is widely used in daily life, which poses significant challenges due to the complex correlations that exist at multi-grained levels. Unfortunately, the majority of current time series prediction models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Zhicheng Chen , Xi Xiao , Ke Xu , Zhong Zhang , Yu Rong , Qing Li , Guojun Gan , Zhiqiang Xu , Peilin Zhao

In this research the technology of complex Markov chains is applied to predict financial time series. The main distinction of complex or high-order Markov Chains and simple first-order ones is the existing of aftereffect or memory. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Vladimir Saptsin , Dmitry Chabanenko

Anticipating human actions is an important task that needs to be addressed for the development of reliable intelligent agents, such as self-driving cars or robot assistants. While the ability to make future predictions with high accuracy is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Olga Zatsarynna , Yazan Abu Farha , Juergen Gall

This analysis explores the temporal sequencing of objects in a movie trailer. Temporal sequencing of objects in a movie trailer (e.g., a long shot of an object vs intermittent short shots) can convey information about the type of movie,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Cheng-Kang Hsieh , Miguel Campo , Abhinav Taliyan , Matt Nickens , Mitkumar Pandya , JJ Espinoza

Time series forecasting is a key component in many industrial and business decision processes and recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have achieved impressive progress on various time series forecasting tasks. However, most of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Zekai Chen , Jiaze E , Xiao Zhang , Hao Sheng , Xiuzheng Cheng

The rise of digital payments has caused consequential changes in the financial crime landscape. As a result, traditional fraud detection approaches such as rule-based systems have largely become ineffective. AI and machine learning…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-05 E. Kurshan , H. Shen

Multi-agent systems are prevalent in a wide range of domains including power systems, vehicular networks, and robotics. Two important problems to solve in these types of systems are how the intentions of non-coordinating agents can be…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Alcorn , Eman Hammad

Trajectory prediction is fundamental to various intelligent technologies, such as autonomous driving and robotics. The motion prediction of pedestrians and vehicles helps emergency braking, reduces collisions, and improves traffic safety.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Binghao Li , Xianzhi Wang , Claude Sammut , Lina Yao

In many large scale distributed systems and on the web, agents need to interact with other unknown agents to carry out some tasks or transactions. The ability to reason about and assess the potential risks in carrying out such transactions…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-02 Xin Liu , Gilles Tredan , Anwitaman Datta

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

Forecasting multivariate time series data, which involves predicting future values of variables over time using historical data, has significant practical applications. Although deep learning-based models have shown promise in this field,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Zahra Fatemi , Minh Huynh , Elena Zheleva , Zamir Syed , Xiaojun Di

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

As the financial industry becomes more interconnected and reliant on digital systems, fraud detection systems must evolve to meet growing threats. Cloud-enabled Transformer models present a transformative opportunity to address these…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Tingting Deng , Shuochen Bi , Jue Xiao

We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay R. Berry , Paul Helman , Mike West

This research article suggests that there are significant benefits in exposing demand planners to forecasting methods using matrix completion techniques. This study aims to contribute to a better understanding of the field of forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Ivan Nazarov , Evgeny Burnaev

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

Encoder-decoder deep neural networks have been increasingly studied for multi-horizon time series forecasting, especially in real-world applications. However, to forecast accurately, these sophisticated models typically rely on a large…

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

The high-order complexity of human behaviour is likely the root cause of extreme difficulty in financial market projections. We consider that behavioural simulation can unveil systemic dynamics to support analysis. Simulating diverse human…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-03 Cheng Wang , Chuwen Wang , Shirong Zeng , Jianguo Liu , Changjun Jiang

Time series has attracted a lot of attention in many fields today. Time series forecasting algorithm based on complex network analysis is a research hotspot. How to use time series information to achieve more accurate forecasting is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao