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Let $X$ be a progressively measurable, almost surely right-continuous stochastic process such that $X_\tau \in L^1$ and $E[X_\tau] = E[X_0]$ for each finite stopping time $\tau$. In 2006, Cherny showed that $X$ is then a uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-05 Johannes Ruf

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between time series. The proposed causal measure is a random sequence, a realization of which enables identification of specific patterns that give rise to high levels of causal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

We present a new deep primal-dual backward stochastic differential equation framework based on stopping time iteration to solve optimal stopping problems. A novel loss function is proposed to learn the conditional expectation, which…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Jiefei Yang , Guanglian Li

Let the process Y(t) be a Skorohod integral process with respect to Brownian motion. We use a recent result by Tudor (2004), to prove that Y(t) can be represented as the limit of linear combinations of processes that are products of forward…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Giovanni Peccati , Michèle Thieullen , Ciprian A. Tudor

This paper deals with the optimal stopping problem under partial observation for piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. We first obtain a recursive formulation of the optimal filter process and derive the dynamic programming equation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

We consider a branching Brownian motion in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We prove that there exists a random subset $\Theta$ of $\mathbb{S}^{d-1}$ such that the limit of the derivative martingale exists simultaneously for all directions $\theta \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Roman Stasiński , Julien Berestycki , Bastien Mallein

Convergence is proved for solutions of Dirichlet problems in regions with many small excluded sets (holes), as the holes become smaller and more numerous. The problem is formulated in the context of Markov processes associated with general…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 J. R. Baxter , M. Nielsen Hernandez

Under very general conditions the hitting time of a set by a stochastic process is a stopping time. We give a new simple proof of this fact. The section theorems for optional and predictable sets are easy corollaries of the proof.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Richard F. Bass

The ordered allocation sampler is a Gibbs sampler designed to explore the posterior distribution in nonparametric mixture models. It encompasses both infinite mixtures and finite mixtures with random number of components, and it has be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Maria F. Gil-Leyva , Fidel Selva , Pierpaolo De Blasi

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-15 Nicholas S. Gonchar

We develop a generalization of correlated trend-cycle decompositions that avoids prior assumptions about the long-run dynamic characteristics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process and incorporating a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-26 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

We show that a substantial portion of stochastic calculus can be developed along similar lines to ordinary calculus, with derivative-based concepts driving the development. We define a notion of stopping derivative, which is a form of right…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Alex Simpson

In this paper we analyze the notion of "stopping time complexity", informally defined as the amount of information needed to specify when to stop while reading an infinite sequence. This notion was introduced by Vovk and Pavlovic (2016). It…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-10-04 Mikhail Andreev , Gleb Posobin , Alexander Shen

In this paper, we address the problem of robust stability for uncertain sampled-data systems controlled by a discrete-time disturbance observer (DT-DOB). Unlike most of previous works that rely on the small-gain theorem, our approach is to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Gyunghoon Park , Chanhwa Lee , Youngjun Joo , Hyungbo Shim

The Robbins-Siegmund theorem establishes the convergence of stochastic processes that are almost supermartingales and is one of the most commonly used approaches for analyzing stochastic iterative algorithms in stochastic approximation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Xinyu Liu , Zixuan Xie , Shangtong Zhang

We consider an optimal stopping problem where a constraint is placed on the distribution of the stopping time. Reformulating the problem in terms of so-called measure-valued martingales allows us to transform the marginal constraint into an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Sigrid Källblad

Let $S^1$ be the stopping time space and $\mathcal{B}_1(S^1)$ be the Baire-1 elements of the second dual of $S^1$. To each element $x^{**}$ in the space $\mathcal{B}_1(S^1)$ we associate a positive Borel measure $\mu_{x^{**}}$ on the Cantor…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Dimitris Apatsidis

Operator splitting methods combined with finite element spatial discretizations are studied for time-dependent nonlinear Schr\"odinger equations. In particular, the Schr\"odinger-Poisson equation under homogeneous Dirichlet boundary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-22 Winfried Auzinger , Thomas Kassebacher , Othmar Koch , Mechthild Thalhammer

Given a sequence $(M^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ of nonnegative martingales starting at $M^n_0=1$, we find a sequence of convex combinations $(\widetilde{M}^n)^{\infty}_{n=1}$ and a limiting process $X$ such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Christoph Czichowsky , Walter Schachermayer

In this paper we study a representation problem first considered in a simpler version by Bank and El Karoui [2004]. A key ingredient to this problem is a random measure $\mu$ on the time axis which in the present paper is allowed to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-22 Peter Bank , David Besslich