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Currently, more and more machine learning (ML) surrogates are being developed for computationally expensive physical models. In this work we investigate the use of a Multi-Fidelity Ensemble Kalman Filter (MF-EnKF) in which the low-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jeffrey van der Voort , Martin Verlaan , Hanne Kekkonen

To represent the complex individual interactions in the dynamics of disease spread informed by data, the coupling of an epidemiological agent-based model with the ensemble Kalman filter is proposed. The statistical inference of the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Juan Aparicio , Juan Ruiz , Ignacio Simoy , Santiago Rosa

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

The Kalman filter (KF) is one of the most widely used tools for data assimilation and sequential estimation. In this work, we show that the state estimates from the KF in a standard linear dynamical system setting are equivalent to those…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Maria Jahja , David C. Farrow , Roni Rosenfeld , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EnKI) and Ensemble Square Root Filter (EnSRF) are popular sampling methods for obtaining a target posterior distribution. They can be seem as one step (the analysis step) in the data assimilation method Ensemble…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li , Jianfeng Lu

We propose a Dynamical Low-Rank Ensemble Kalman Filter (DLR-ENKF) for efficient joint state-parameter estimation in high-dimensional dynamical systems. The method extends the DLR-ENKF formulation of arXiv:2509.11210 to the augmented…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Fabio Nobile , Sébastien Riffaud , Thomas Trigo Trindade

We propose a Neural-Enhanced Distributed Kalman Filter (NDKF) for multi-sensor state estimation in nonlinear systems. Unlike traditional Kalman filters that rely on explicit analytical models and assume centralized fusion, NDKF leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Siavash Farzan , Bennett Parisi

We analyze the convergence aspects of the invariant extended Kalman filter (IEKF), when the latter is used as a deterministic non-linear observer on Lie groups, for continuous-time systems with discrete observations. One of the main…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-20 Axel Barrau , Silvère Bonnabel

We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

We present a new type of the EnKF for data assimilation in spatial models that uses diagonal approximation of the state covariance in the wavelet space to achieve adaptive localization. The efficiency of the new method is demonstrated on an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-01 Jonathan D. Beezley , Jan Mandel , Loren Cobb

This paper introduces the ensemble directional Kalman filter (EnDKF), an ensemble-based Kalman filtering approach for pose tracking that jointly estimates an object's position and attitude using ideas from directional statistics. The EnDKF…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Tianlu Lu , Asif Sijan , Thomas Noh , Huaijin Chen , Andrey A. Popov

The use of Kalman filtering, as well as its nonlinear extensions, for the estimation of system variables and parameters has played a pivotal role in many fields of scientific inquiry where observations of the system are restricted to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Joseph Arthur , Adam Attarian , Franz Hamilton , Hien Tran

In this article, a robust ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) called MC-EnKF is proposed for nonlinear state-space model to deal with filtering problems with non-Gaussian observation noises. Our MC-EnKF is derived based on maximum correntropy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-21 Yangtianze Tao , Jiayi Kang , Stephen Shing-Toung Yau

Background: Over the past few decades, numerous forecasting methods have been proposed in the field of epidemic forecasting. Such methods can be classified into different categories such as deterministic vs. probabilistic, comparative…

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) has achieved great successes in data assimilation in atmospheric and oceanic sciences, but its failure in convergence to the right filtering distribution precludes its use for uncertainty quantification. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Peiyi Zhang , Qifan Song , Faming Liang

A new ensemble filter that allows for the uncertainty in the prior distribution is proposed and tested. The filter relies on the conditional Gaussian distribution of the state given the model-error and predictability-error covariance…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-19 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Alexander Rakitko

Prediction of spatio-temporal chaotic systems is important in various fields, such as Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). While data assimilation methods have been applied in NWP, machine learning techniques, such as Reservoir Computing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Futo Tomizawa , Yohei Sawada

The Ensemble Score Filter (EnSF) has emerged as a promising approach to leverage score-based diffusion models for solving high-dimensional and nonlinear data assimilation problems. While initial applications of EnSF to the Lorenz-96 model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Zezhong Zhang , Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang

Kalman Filter requires the true parameters of the model and solves optimal state estimation recursively. Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is applicable for estimating the parameters of the model that are not available before Kalman…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Zhuangwei Shi

A data-driven investigation of the flow around a high-rise building is performed combining heterogeneous experimental samples and RANS CFD. The coupling is performed using techniques based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), including…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-27 Lucas Villanueva , Miguel Martinez Valero , Anina Sarkic Glumac , Marcello Meldi