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Recently, combinations of generative and Bayesian machine learning have been introduced in particle physics for both fast detector simulation and inference tasks. These neural networks aim to quantify the uncertainty on the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Sebastian Bieringer , Sascha Diefenbacher , Gregor Kasieczka , Mathias Trabs

This paper proposes a new Bayesian machine learning model that can be applied to large datasets arising in macroeconomics. Our framework sums over many simple two-component location mixtures. The transition between components is determined…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-05 Florian Huber

Deep neural networks (NNs) are powerful black box predictors that have recently achieved impressive performance on a wide spectrum of tasks. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in NNs is a challenging and yet unsolved problem. Bayesian NNs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Alexander Pritzel , Charles Blundell

The goal of Bayesian deep learning is to provide uncertainty quantification via the posterior distribution. However, exact inference over the weight space is computationally intractable due to the ultra-high dimensions of the neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Xiongwen Ke , Yanan Fan

Monte Carlo simulations of physics processes at particle colliders like the Large Hadron Collider at CERN take up a major fraction of the computational budget. For some simulations, a single data point takes seconds, minutes, or even hours…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-02-03 Fady Bishara , Ayan Paul , Jennifer Dy

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Recent advances in deep learning have led to a paradigm shift in the field of reversible steganography. A fundamental pillar of reversible steganography is predictive modelling which can be realised via deep neural networks. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Ching-Chun Chang

Conventional radio frequency (RF) passive components modeling based on machine learning requires extensive electromagnetic (EM) simulations to cover geometric and frequency design spaces, creating computational bottlenecks. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Huifan Zhang , Pingqiang Zhou

Predicting cancer dynamics under treatment is challenging due to high inter-patient heterogeneity, lack of predictive biomarkers, and sparse and noisy longitudinal data. Mathematical models can summarize cancer dynamics by a few…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-24 Even Moa Myklebust , Arnoldo Frigessi , Fredrik Schjesvold , Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder , Alvaro Köhn-Luque

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

Virtual screening aims to find desirable compounds from chemical library by using computational methods. For this purpose with machine learning, model outputs that can be interpreted as predictive probability will be beneficial, in that a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Doyeong Hwang , Grace Lee , Hanseok Jo , Seyoul Yoon , Seongok Ryu

Bayesian networks are now being used in enormous fields, for example, diagnosis of a system, data mining, clustering and so on. In spite of their wide range of applications, the statistical properties have not yet been clarified, because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Keisuke Yamazaki , Sumio Watanbe

Which neural networks are similar is a fundamental question for both machine learning and neuroscience. Here, it is proposed to base comparisons on the predictive distributions of linear readouts from intermediate representations. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Heiko H. Schütt

Models of weak-scale supersymmetry offer viable dark matter (DM) candidates. Their parameter spaces are however rather large and complex, such that pinning down the actual parameter values from experimental data can depend strongly on the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-07-14 Yashar Akrami , Christopher Savage , Pat Scott , Jan Conrad , Joakim Edsjö

This paper considers the problem of learning the parameters in Bayesian networks of discrete variables with known structure and hidden variables. Previous approaches in these settings typically use expectation maximization; when the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Yonatan Halpern , David Sontag

Run 1 of the LHC has provided three new motivations for supersymmetry: the need to stabilize the electroweak vacuum, the mass of the Higgs boson, and the fact that its couplings are Standard Model-like (so far). The prospects for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-10-22 John Ellis

We estimate the current theoretical uncertainty in sparticle mass predictions by comparing several state-of-the-art computations within the minimal supersymmetric standard model (MSSM). We find that the theoretical uncertainty is comparable…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2010-04-06 B. C. Allanach , S. Kraml , W. Porod

Neural Networks (NNs) have provided state-of-the-art results for many challenging machine learning tasks such as detection, regression and classification across the domains of computer vision, speech recognition and natural language…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Ethan Goan , Clinton Fookes

This work is focused on the morphological classification of galaxies following the Hubble sequence in which the different classes are arranged in a hierarchy. The proposed method, BCNN, is composed of two main modules. First, a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-04 Jonathan Serrano-Pérez , Raquel Díaz Hernández , L. Enrique Sucar

Structure learning is essential for Bayesian networks (BNs) as it uncovers causal relationships, and enables knowledge discovery, predictions, inferences, and decision-making under uncertainty. Two novel algorithms, FSBN and SSBN, based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Minn Sein , Fu Shunkai