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Probabilistic forecasts are essential for various downstream applications such as business development, traffic planning, and electrical grid balancing. Many of these probabilistic forecasts are performed on time series data that contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Benedikt Heidrich , Kaleb Phipps , Oliver Neumann , Marian Turowski , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

An influential step in weather forecasting was the introduction of ensemble forecasts in operational use due to their capability to account for the uncertainties in the future state of the atmosphere. However, ensemble weather forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-25 Mária Lakatos , Sebastian Lerch , Stephan Hemri , Sándor Baran

Estimation of the wind speed plays an important role in many issues such as route determination of ships, efficient use of wind roses, and correct planning of agricultural activities. In this study, wind velocity estimation is calculated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Inan Timur , Baba Ahmet Fevzi

Climate change impacts and adaptations are the subjects to ongoing issues that attract the attention of many researchers. Insight into the wind power potential in an area and its probable variation due to climate change impacts can provide…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-14 Narjes Nabipour , Amir Mosavi , Eva Hajnal , Laszlo Nadai , Shahab Shamshirband , Kwok-Wing Chau

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Weather forecasting has traditionally relied on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, which simulate weather by solving the governing fluid equations. Recently, the emergence of Deep Learning Weather Prediction (DLWP) models has opened…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-03 Francesco Pasquini , Michiel Baatsen , Bastien François , Natalie Theeuwes , Maurice Schmeits

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

Despite the advances in the field of solar energy, improvements of solar forecasting techniques, addressing the intermittent electricity production, remain essential for securing its future integration into a wider energy supply. A…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

Motivated by oceanographic observational datasets, we propose a probabilistic neural network (PNN) model for calculating turbulent energy dissipation rates from vertical columns of velocity and density gradients in density stratified…

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

This study addressed the complex task of sentiment analysis on a dataset of 119,988 original tweets from Weibo using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), offering a new approach to Natural Language Processing (NLP). The data, sourced from…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Yufei Xie , Rodolfo C. Raga

The importance of renewable power production is a set goal in terms of the energy turnaround. Developing short-term wind speed forecasting improvements might increase the profitability of wind power. This article compares two novel…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-11 Daniel Ambach

We propose a machine-learning-based methodology for in-situ weather forecast postprocessing that is both spatially coherent and multivariate. Compared to previous work, our Flow MAtching Postprocessing (FMAP) better represents the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-28 David Landry , Claire Monteleoni , Anastase Charantonis

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have become widely adopted in gravitational wave (GW) detection pipelines due to their ability to automatically learn hierarchical features from raw strain data. However, the physical meaning of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jun Tian , He Wang , Jibo He , Yu Pan , Shuo Cao , Qingquan Jiang

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta

This paper proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based method that learns traffic as images and predicts large-scale, network-wide traffic speed with a high accuracy. Spatiotemporal traffic dynamics are converted to images…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Xiaolei Ma , Zhuang Dai , Zhengbing He , Jihui Na , Yong Wang , Yunpeng Wang

Parametric quantile regressions are a useful tool for creating probabilistic energy forecasts. Nonetheless, since classical quantile regressions are trained using a non-differentiable cost function, their creation using complex data mining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Jorge Ángel González Ordiano , Lutz Gröll , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

This report first provides a brief overview of a number of supervised learning algorithms for regression tasks. Among those are neural networks, regression trees, and the recently introduced Nexting. Nexting has been presented in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Michael Koller , Johannes Feldmaier , Klaus Diepold

Neural networks are increasingly being used in a variety of settings to predict wind direction and speed, two of the most important factors for estimating the potential power output of a wind farm. However, these predictions are arguably of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-22 Mariana C A Clare , Matthew D Piggott

The demand for high-resolution information on climate change is critical for accurate projections and decision-making. Presently, this need is addressed through high-resolution climate models or downscaling. High-resolution models are…

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