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Explicitly accounting for uncertainties is paramount to the safety of engineering structures. Optimization which is often carried out at the early stage of the structural design offers an ideal framework for this task. When the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 M. Moustapha , A. Galimshina , G. Habert , B. Sudret

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is an active field of research with an ever increasing number of contributions. Numerous methods have been proposed for the solution of RBDO, a complex problem that combines optimization and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

In the field of reliability engineering, the Active learning reliability method combining Kriging and Monte Carlo Simulation (AK-MCS) has been developed and demonstrated to be effective in reliability analysis. However, the performance of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Wenxiong Li , Rong Geng , Suiyin Chen

Engineering design involves demanding models encompassing many decision variables and uncontrollable parameters. In addition, unavoidable aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties can be very impactful and add further complexity. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Enrico Ampellio , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

Uncertainties are inherent to real-world systems. Taking them into account is crucial in industrial design problems and this might be achieved through reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) techniques. In this paper, we propose a…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-31 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret , J. -M. Bourinet , B. Guillaume

The aim of the present paper is to develop a strategy for solving reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems that remains applicable when the performance models are expensive to evaluate. Starting with the premise that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-20 V. Dubourg , B. Sudret , J. -M. Bourinet

Time-variant reliability analysis is a critical task for ensuring the safety of engineering dynamical systems subjected to stochastic excitations. However, assessing failure probability for realistic systems with Monte-Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Stefano Marelli , Styfen Schär , Bruno Sudret

Optimal design under uncertainty has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows the analyst…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-13 V. Dubourg , J. -M. Bourinet , B. Sudret

Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

The optimal and robust design of structures has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Vincent Dubourg , Jean-Marc Bourinet , Bruno Sudret

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is traditionally formulated as a nested optimization and reliability problem. Although surrogate models are generally employed to improve efficiency, the approach remains computationally…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-08 M. Moustapha , B. Sudret

Existing active strategies for training surrogate models yield accurate structural reliability estimates by aiming at design space regions in the vicinity of a specified limit state function. In many practical engineering applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 J. Moran A. , P. G. Morato , P. Rigo

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Running a reliability analysis on engineering problems involving complex numerical models can be computationally very expensive, requiring advanced simulation methods to reduce the overall numerical cost. Gaussian process based active…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-01 Morgane Menz , Sylvain Dubreuil , Jérôme Morio , Christian Gogu , Nathalie Bartoli , Marie Chiron

In reliability engineering, conventional surrogate models encounter the "curse of dimensionality" as the number of random variables increases. While the active learning Kriging surrogate approaches with high-dimensional model representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Wenxiong Li , Hanyu Liao , Suiyin Chen

We consider a multi-objective risk-averse two-stage stochastic programming problem with a multivariate convex risk measure. We suggest a convex vector optimization formulation with set-valued constraints and propose an extended version of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-20 Çağın Ararat , Özlem Çavuş , Ali İrfan Mahmutoğulları

Methods for generating sequences of surrogates approximating fine scale models of two-phase random heterogeneous media are presented that are designed to adaptively control the modeling error in key quantities of interest (QoIs). For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Laura Scarabosio , Barbara Wohlmuth , J. Tinsley Oden , Danial Faghihi

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-27 Michael Ludkovski

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) is a flexible and effective variance reduction technique for accelerating reliability assessments of complex power system. Recently, data-driven surrogate models have been proposed as lower-level models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Ruiqi Zhang , Simon H. Tindemans
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