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This paper proposes an agent-based simulation of a presidential election, inspired by the French 2017 presidential election. The simulation is based on data extracted from polls, media coverage, and Twitter. The main contribution is to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Yassine Bouachrine , Carole Adam

The strongly polarizing political discourse in the U. S. implies that a small minority of the population, determining the outcome of the presidential elections in a few so called battleground-states, also determines the outcome of the…

We study an urn process containing red and blue balls and two different strategies to reinforce the urn. Namely, a generalized P\'olya-type strategy versus an i.i.d. one. At each step, one of the two reinforcement strategies is chosen by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

Voter control problems model situations such as an external agent trying to affect the result of an election by adding voters, for example by convincing some voters to vote who would otherwise not attend the election. Traditionally, voters…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-06-27 Laurent Bulteau , Jiehua Chen , Piotr Faliszewski , Rolf Niedermeier , Nimrod Talmon

Public opinion is subject to peer interaction via social networks and external pressure from the media, advertising, and other actors. In this paper, we study the interaction between external and peer influence on the stochastic opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-07-31 Niels Van Santen , Jan Ryckebusch , Luis E. C. Rocha

We examine the effects of memory and different updating paradigms in a game-theoretic model of competitive learning, where agents are influenced in their choice of strategy by both the choices made by, and the consequent success rates of,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-23 Ajaz Ahmad Bhat , Anita Mehta

We model bipartisan elections where voters are exposed to two forces: local homophilic interactions and external influence from two political campaigns. The model is mathematically equivalent to the random field Ising model with a bimodal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-30 Jan Korbel , Remah Dahdoul , Stefan Thurner

The interplay of social and strategic motivations in human interactions is a largely unexplored question in collective social phenomena. Whether individuals' decisions are taken in a pure strategic basis or due to social pressure without a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-09-19 Daniele Vilone , Jose J. Ramasco , Angel Sánchez , Maxi San Miguel

Recommender systems increasingly suffer from echo chambers and user homogenization, systemic distortions arising from the dynamic interplay between algorithmic recommendations and human behavior. While prior work has studied these phenomena…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Ming Tang , Xiaowen Huang , Jitao Sang

The median voter theorem has long been the default model of voter behavior and candidate choice. While contemporary work on the distribution of political opinion has emphasized polarization and an increasing gap between the "left" and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-25 Matthew I. Jones , Antonio D. Sirianni , Feng Fu

Social media platforms often foster environments where users primarily engage with content that aligns with their existing beliefs, thereby reinforcing their views and limiting exposure to opposing viewpoints. In this paper, we analyze X…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Blas Kolic , Fabián Aguirre-López , Sergio Hernández-Williams , Guillermo Garduño-Hernández

Motivated by a study of United Nations voting behaviors, we introduce a regression model for a series of networks that are correlated over time. Our model is a dynamic extension of the additive and multiplicative effects network model…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-23 Bomin Kim , Xiaoyue Niu , David R. Hunter , Xun Cao

Metric distortion in social choice is a framework for evaluating how well voting rules minimize social cost when both voters and candidates exist in a shared metric space, with a voter's cost defined by their distance to a candidate. Voters…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Mohak Goyal , Sahasrajit Sarmasarkar

We revisit the no tie breaking 2-state Galam contrarian model of opinion dynamics for update groups of size 3. While the initial model assumes a constant density of contrarians a for both opinions, it now depends for each opinion on its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Christian Borghesi , Serge Galam

Confirmation bias and peer pressure both have substantial impacts on the formation of collective decisions. Nevertheless, few attempts have been made to study how the interplay between these two mechanisms affects public opinion evolution.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-22 Longzhao Liu , Xin Wang , Shaoting Tang , Zhiming Zheng

The standard three-state voter model is enlarged by including the outside pressure favouring one of the three choices and by adding some biased internal random noise. The Monte Carlo simulations are motivated by states with the population…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 T. Hadzibeganovic , D. Stauffer , C. Schulze

While the number and variety of models to explain opinion exchange dynamics is huge, attempts to justify the model results using empirical data are relatively rare. As linking to real data is essential for establishing model credibility,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-18 Sven Banisch , Tanya Araújo

In the past, the Voter Model has been explicitly used to model the impact of propaganda on a dynamic, interconnected population, and certain factors have been identified that influence the behavior of voters when under outside influence.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Renee Jerome

Is it more effective to have a strong influence over a small domain, or a weaker influence over a larger one? Here, we introduce and analyse an off-lattice generalisation of the voter model, in which the range and strength of agents'…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-04 Kevin Minors , Tim Rogers , Christian A Yates

The voter model with stirring is a variant of the classical voter model on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ with two possible opinions (0 and 1) that, in addition to copying neighbouring opinions at rate 1, allows voters to interchange their opinions at…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Jhon Astoquillca , Franco Severo , Réka Szabó , Daniel Valesin