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The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

There has been a split in the statistics community about the need for taking covariates into account in the design phase of a clinical trial. There are many advocates of using stratification and covariate-adaptive randomization to promote…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-21 William F. Rosenberger , Oleksandr Sverdlov

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu

Cancer subtyping is crucial for understanding the nature of tumors and providing suitable therapy. However, existing labelling methods are medically controversial, and have driven the process of subtyping away from teaching signals.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Zheng Chen , Lingwei Zhu , Ziwei Yang , Takashi Matsubara

In a sequential multiple-assignment randomized trial (SMART), a sequence of treatments is given to a patient over multiple stages. In each stage, randomization may be done to allocate patients to different treatment groups. Even though…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Rik Ghosh , Bibhas Chakraborty , Inbal Nahum-Shani , Megan E. Patrick , Palash Ghosh

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

This paper studies a two-stage model of experimentation, where the researcher first samples representative units from an eligible pool, then assigns each sampled unit to treatment or control. To implement balanced sampling and assignment,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Max Cytrynbaum

Optimal design is a critical yet challenging task within many applications. This challenge arises from the need for extensive trial and error, often done through simulations or running field experiments. Fortunately, sequential optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Xubo Yue , Raed Al Kontar , Albert S. Berahas , Yang Liu , Blake N. Johnson

There is a movement in design of experiments away from the classic randomization put forward by Fisher, Cochran and others to one based on optimization. In fixed-sample trials comparing two groups, measurements of subjects are known in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Adam Kapelner , Abba M. Krieger , Uri Shalit , David Azriel

Comparisons of different treatments or production processes are the goals of a significant fraction of applied research. Unsurprisingly, two-sample problems play a main role in Statistics through natural questions such as `Is the the new…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 P. C. Álvarez-Esteban , E. del Barrio , J. A. Cuesta-Albertos , C. Matrán

Large variability between cell lines brings a difficult optimization problem of drug selection for cancer therapy. Standard approaches use prediction of value for this purpose, corresponding e.g. to expected value of their distribution.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-15 Jarek Duda

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

Bayesian adaptive designs have gained popularity in all phases of clinical trials with numerous new developments in the past few decades. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the need to establish evidence for the effectiveness of vaccines,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Shirin Golchi

We consider the optimal experimental design problem of allocating subjects to treatment or control when subjects participate in multiple, separate controlled experiments within a short time-frame and subject covariate information is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 William Fisher , Qiong Zhang , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

When a novel treatment has successfully passed phase I, different options to design subsequent phase II trials are available. One approach is a single-arm trial, comparing the response rate in the intervention group against a fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Johannes Krisam , Dorothea Weber , Richard F. Schlenk , Meinhard Kieser

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

A master protocol trial uses a single overarching protocol to test multiple therapies, often across several diseases or subtypes. Although such trials offer considerable flexibility and efficiency, their constrained and non-uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Shiyu Wan , Yuhan Qian , Yanyao Yi , Nicole Mayer-Hamblett , Patrick J. Heagerty , Ting Ye

The academic job market for new statisticians is highly congested at the interview stage, where departments must rank and select candidates from large applicant pools without credible signals of candidate interest. As a result, interviews…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-17 Ali Kaazempur-Mofrad , Xiaowu Dai , Xuming He

The treatment allocation mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized by maximizing the nonparametric efficiency bound for a specific measure of treatment effect. Optimal treatment allocations which may or may not depend on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

We construct optimal designs for group testing experiments where the goal is to estimate the prevalence of a trait by using a test with uncertain sensitivity and specificity. Using optimal design theory for approximate designs, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Shih-Hao Huang , Mong-Na Lo Huang , Kerby Shedden , Weng Kee Wong
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