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High-frequency data observed on the prices of financial assets are commonly modeled by diffusion processes with micro-structure noise, and realized volatility-based methods are often used to estimate integrated volatility. For problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Yazhen Wang , Jian Zou

We present an Hilbert space formulation for a set of implied volatility models introduced in \cite{BraceGoldys01} in which the authors studied conditions for a family of European call options, varying the maturing time and the strike price…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 A. Brace , G. Fabbri , B. Goldys

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

In this paper an arbitrage strategy is constructed for the modified Black-Scholes model driven by fractional Brownian motion or by a time changed fractional Brownian motion, when the volatility is stochastic. This latter property allows the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

The covariance between the return of an asset and its realized volatility can be approximated as the difference between two specific implied volatilities. In this paper it is proved that in the small time-to-maturity limit the approximation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Elisa Alos , Frido Rolloos , Kenichiro Shiraya

This article establishes an asymptotic theory for volatility estimation in an infinite-dimensional setting. We consider mild solutions of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations and derive a stable central limit theorem for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Fred Espen Benth , Dennis Schroers , Almut E. D. Veraart

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Flexible sparsity regularization means stably approximating sparse solutions of operator equations by using coefficient-dependent penalizations. We propose and analyse a general nonconvex approach in this respect, from both theoretical and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Daria Ghilli , Dirk A. Lorenz , Elena Resmerita

Albeit of crucial interest for both financial practitioners and researchers, market-implied volatility data of European swaptions often exhibit large portions of missing quotes due to illiquidity of the various underlying swaption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Ivo Richert , Robert Buch

Many statistical settings call for estimating a population parameter, most typically the population mean, based on a sample of matrices. The most natural estimate of the population mean is the arithmetic mean, but there are many other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-16 Asad Lodhia , Keith Levin , Elizaveta Levina

It is shown how to model any automorphism of a totally disconnected, locally compact group by a symbolic dynamical system. The model is an inverse limit of a product of a full-shift, on a finite number of symbols, with one of two types of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bruce P. Kitchens

In this article, we show how to calibrate the widely-used SVI parameterization of the implied volatility surface in such a way as to guarantee the absence of static arbitrage. In particular, we exhibit a large class of arbitrage-free SVI…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-22 Jim Gatheral , Antoine Jacquier

We present an explicit hedging strategy, which enables to prove arbitrageness of market incorporating at least two assets depending on the same random factor. The implied Black-Scholes volatility, computed taking into account the form of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-01 Mikhail Martynov , Olga Rozanova

In financial markets, accurately measuring the risk of future fluctuations in asset prices is of paramount importance. Studies such as Carr and Madan have shown that the expected value of the quadratic variation of log prices can be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Masaaki Fukasawa , Shunta Murayama

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

The purpose of this work is to explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-10 Sergei Fedotov , Stephanos Panayides

We consider the fractional Heston model originally proposed by Comte, Coutin and Renault. Inspired by recent ground-breaking work on rough volatility, which showed that models with volatility driven by fractional Brownian motion with short…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Hamza Guennoun , Antoine Jacquier , Patrick Roome , Fangwei Shi

We present a theory of option pricing and hedging, designed to address non-perfect arbitrage, market friction and the presence of `fat' tails. An implied volatility `smile' is predicted. We give precise estimates of the residual risk…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Giulia Iori , Didier Sornette

Volatility is the canonical measure of financial risk, a role largely inherited from Modern Portfolio Theory. Yet, its universality rests on restrictive efficiency assumptions that render volatility, at best, an incomplete proxy for true…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

The leverage effect-- the correlation between an asset's return and its volatility-- has played a key role in forecasting and understanding volatility and risk. While it is a long standing consensus that leverage effects exist and improve…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-12 Kenichiro McAlinn , Asahi Ushio , Teruo Nakatsuma