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`All models are wrong but some are useful' (George Box 1979). But, how to find those useful ones starting from an imperfect model? How to make informed data-driven decisions equipped with an imperfect model? These fundamental questions…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-09 Subhadeep , Mukhopadhyay

Planners using accurate models can be effective for accomplishing manipulation tasks in the real world, but are typically highly specialized and require significant fine-tuning to be reliable. Meanwhile, learning is useful for adaptation,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Alex LaGrassa , Steven Lee , Oliver Kroemer

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

Selecting techniques is a crucial element of the business analysis approach planning in IT projects. Particular attention is paid to the choice of techniques for requirements elicitation. One of the promising methods for selecting…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Denys Gobov , Olga Solovei

We consider the problem of deciding on sampling strategy, in particular sampling design. We propose a risk measure, whose minimizing value guides the choice. The method makes use of a superpopulation model and takes into account uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Edgar Bueno , Dan Hedlin

Many of the observations we make are biased by our decisions. For instance, the demand of items is impacted by the prices set, and online checkout choices are influenced by the assortments presented. The challenge in decision-making under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

This work provides a rigorous framework for studying continuous time control problems in uncertain environments. The framework considered models uncertainty in state dynamics as a measure on the space of functions. This measure is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Ryan Murray , Michele Palladino

Modeling how a robot interacts with the environment around it is an important prerequisite for designing control and planning algorithms. In fact, the performance of controllers and planners is highly dependent on the quality of the model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Clark Zhang , Arbaaz Khan , Santiago Paternain , Alejandro Ribeiro

We study the problem of online model selection in reinforcement learning, where the selector has access to a class of reinforcement learning agents and learns to adaptively select the agent with the right configuration. Our goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Aida Afshar , Aldo Pacchiano

In this paper, we extend the recent body of work on planning under uncertainty to include the fact that sensors may not provide any measurement owing to misdetection. This is caused either by adverse environmental conditions that prevent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-09-17 Shaunak D. Bopardikar , Brendan J. Englot , Alberto Speranzon

We introduce a unified probabilistic framework for solving sequential decision making problems ranging from Bayesian optimisation to contextual bandits and reinforcement learning. This is accomplished by a probabilistic model-based approach…

The development of the works of the author about adaptive algorithms of teaching the robotic systems with the help of operator is described here. An operator is assumed to be an experience decision-maker and sane carrier of a target which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Valery Vilisov

Classical deterministic optimal control problems assume full information about the controlled process. The theory of control for general partially-observable processes is powerful, but the methods are computationally expensive and typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Dongping Qi , Adam Dhillon , Alexander Vladimirsky

For safe operation, a robot must be able to avoid collisions in uncertain environments. Existing approaches for motion planning under uncertainties often assume parametric obstacle representations and Gaussian uncertainty, which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Ralf Römer , Armin Lederer , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

The idea of decision-aware model learning, that models should be accurate where it matters for decision-making, has gained prominence in model-based reinforcement learning. While promising theoretical results have been established, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Claas A Voelcker , Arash Ahmadian , Romina Abachi , Igor Gilitschenski , Amir-massoud Farahmand

The field of reinforcement learning (RL) is facing increasingly challenging domains with combinatorial complexity. For an RL agent to address these challenges, it is essential that it can plan effectively. Prior work has typically utilized…

Adapting the final sample size of a trial to the evidence accruing during the trial is a natural way to address planning uncertainty. Designs with adaptive sample size need to account for their optional stopping to guarantee strict type-I…

Compounding error, where small prediction mistakes accumulate over time, presents a major challenge in learning-based control. For example, this issue often limits the performance of model-based reinforcement learning and imitation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Anne Somalwar , Bruce D. Lee , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni
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