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We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Chirag Nagpal , Xinyu Rachel Li , Artur Dubrawski

We propose a versatile framework for survival analysis that combines advanced concepts from statistics with deep learning. The presented framework is based on piecewise exponential models and thereby supports various survival tasks, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Philipp Kopper , Sebastian Pölsterl , Christian Wachinger , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , David Rügamer

Standard causal inference characterizes treatment effect through averages, but the counterfactual distributions could be different in not only the central tendency but also spread and shape. To provide a comprehensive evaluation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Steven G. Xu , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich

This paper develops a semi-parametric procedure for estimation of unconditional quantile partial effects using quantile regression coefficients. The estimator is based on an identification result showing that, for continuous covariates,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-02 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

The three state illness death model has been established as a general approach for regression analysis of semi competing risks data. For observational data the marginal structural models (MSM) are a useful tool, under the potential outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Yiran Zhang , Andrew Ying , Steve Edland , Lon White , Ronghui Xu

The predictiveness curve is a valuable tool for predictive evaluation, risk stratification, and threshold selection in a target population, given a single biomarker or a prediction model. In the presence of competing risks, regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-04 Wei Tao , Jing Ning , Wen Li , Wenyaw Chan , Xi Luo , Ruosha Li

Estimating the impact of continuous treatment variables (e.g., dosage amount) on binary outcomes presents significant challenges in modeling and estimation because many existing approaches make strong assumptions that do not hold for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Muyan Jiang , Yunkai Zhang , Anil Aswani

Competing risk data appear widely in modern biomedical research. Cause-specific hazard models are often used to deal with competing risk data in the past two decades. There is no current study on the kernel likelihood method for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-14 Xiaomeng Qi , Zhangsheng Yu

There is a long-standing debate in the statistical, epidemiological and econometric fields as to whether nonparametric estimation that uses data-adaptive methods, like machine learning algorithms in model fitting, confer any meaningful…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas Williams , Caleb H. Miles , Joseph Antonelli , Ivan Diaz

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

Precision medicine leverages patient heterogeneity to estimate individualized treatment regimens, formalized, data-driven approaches designed to match patients with optimal treatments. In the presence of competing events, where multiple…

We consider survival data in the presence of a cure fraction, meaning that some subjects will never experience the event of interest. We assume a mixture cure model consisting of two sub-models: one for the probability of being uncured…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Eni Musta , Tsz Pang Yuen

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects with machine learning has attracted substantial attention in both academic research and industrial practice. However, the two communities often evaluate models under markedly different conditions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 George Panagopoulos

In many medical studies, an ultimate failure event such as death is likely to be affected by the occurrence and timing of other intermediate clinical events. Both event times are subject to censoring by loss-to-follow-up but the nonterminal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-18 Fei Gao , Fan Xia , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

Predicting risks of chronic diseases has become increasingly important in clinical practice. When a prediction model is developed in a given source cohort, there is often a great interest to apply the model to other cohorts. However, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Zheng Jiayin , Zheng Yingye , Hsu Li

An every increasing number of clinical trials features a time-to-event outcome and records non-tabular patient data, such as magnetic resonance imaging or text data in the form of electronic health records. Recently, several neural-network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Gabriele Campanella , Lucas Kook , Ida Häggström , Torsten Hothorn , Thomas J. Fuchs

We propose a new class of semiparametric regression models of mean residual life for censored outcome data. The models, which enable us to estimate the expected remaining survival time and generalize commonly used mean residual life models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ge Zhao , Yanyuan Ma , Huazhen Lin , Yi Li

We consider the efficient estimation of the semiparametric additive transformation model with current status data. A wide range of survival models and econometric models can be incorporated into this general transformation framework. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-09 Guang Cheng , Xiao Wang

This study introduces a general semiparametric clusterwise index distribution model to analyze how latent clusters affect the covariate-response relationships. By employing sufficient dimension reduction to account for the effects of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jen-Chieh Teng , Chin-Tsang Chiang

In causal inference, estimating the average treatment effect is a central objective, and in the context of competing risks data, this effect can be quantified by the cause-specific cumulative incidence function (CIF) difference. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yifei Tian , Ying Wu
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