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Related papers: Validation of GFS day-ahead solar irradiance forec…

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We report a data-parsimonious machine learning model for short-term forecasting of solar irradiance. The model inputs include sky camera images that are reduced to scalar features to meet data transmission constraints. The output irradiance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Joshua Edward Hammond , Ricardo A. Lara Orozco , Michael Baldea , Brian A. Korgel

Traditional solar flare forecasting approaches have mostly relied on physics-based or data-driven models using solar magnetograms, treating flare predictions as a point-in-time classification problem. This approach has limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Anli Ji , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

As the US rapidly moves towards cleaner energy sources, solar energy is fast becoming the pillar of its renewable energy mix. Even while solar energy is increasingly being used, its variability is a key hindrance to grid stability, storage…

We conduct the first comprehensive meta-analysis of deterministic solar forecasting based on skill score, screening 1,447 papers from Google Scholar and reviewing the full texts of 320 papers for data extraction. A database of 4,687 points…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-13 Thi Ngoc Nguyen , Felix Müsgens

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

Forecast verification plays a crucial role in the development cycle of operational numerical weather prediction models. At the same time, verification remains a challenge as the traditionally used non-spatial forecast quality metrics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Gregor Skok , Katarina Kosovelj

Power systems engineers are actively developing larger power plants out of photovoltaics imposing some major challenges which include its intermittent power generation and its poor dispatchability. The issue is that PV is a variable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-17 Hugo Riggs , Shahid Tufail , Mohd Tariq , Arif Sarwat

Solar forecasting from ground-based sky images has shown great promise in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. With more and more sky image datasets open sourced in recent years, the development of accurate and reliable deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Yuhao Nie , Quentin Paletta , Andea Scott , Luis Martin Pomares , Guillaume Arbod , Sgouris Sgouridis , Joan Lasenby , Adam Brandt

Solar still is a convenient off-grid device for desalination, which can provide fresh water for families, ships, islands and so on. The conventional inclined solar still (ISS) suffers from low efficiency and low productivity. To improve the…

For diffraction-limited optical systems an accurate physical optics model is necessary to properly evaluate instrument performance. Astronomical observatories outfitted with coronagraphs for direct exoplanet imaging require physical optics…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-01 Jaren N. Ashcraft , Ewan S. Douglas , Daewook Kim , A. J. E. Riggs

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

Owing to the growing concern of global warming and over-dependence on fossil fuels, there has been a huge interest in last years in the deployment of Photovoltaic (PV) systems for generating electricity. The output power of a PV array…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-18 Soumyabrata Dev , Tarek AlSkaif , Murhaf Hossari , Radu Godina , Atse Louwen , Wilfried van Sark

Recent years, weather forecasting has gained significant attention. However, accurately predicting weather remains a challenge due to the rapid variability of meteorological data and potential teleconnections. Current spatiotemporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Yuhao Du , Hui Liu , Haoxiang Peng , Xinyuan Cheng , Chengrong Wu , Jiankai Zhang

The estimation of total solar irradiance falling on the earth's surface is important in the field of solar energy generation and forecasting. Several clear-sky solar radiation models have been developed over the last few decades. Most of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-08-30 Soumyabrata Dev , Shilpa Manandhar , Yee Hui Lee , Stefan Winkler

Accurate estimates of the surface solar radiation (SSR) are a prerequisite for intra-day forecasts of solar resources and photovoltaic power generation. Intra-day SSR forecasts are of interest to power traders and to operators of solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-23 Alberto Carpentieri , Doris Folini , Martin Wild , Laurent Vuilleumier , Angela Meyer

This project presents an extension to the GraphCast model, a state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN) for global weather forecasting, by integrating solar energy production forecasting capabilities. The proposed approach leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Cale Colony , Razan Andigani

The occlusion of the sun by clouds is one of the primary sources of uncertainties in solar power generation, and is a factor that affects the wide-spread use of solar power as a primary energy source. Real-time forecasting of cloud movement…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Leron Julian , Haejoon Lee , Soummya Kar , Aswin C. Sankaranarayanan

In recent years, renewable energy resources have accounted for an increasing share of electricity energy.Among them, photovoltaic (PV) power generation has received broad attention due to its economic and environmental benefits.Accurate PV…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Xuetao Jiang , Meiyu Jiang , Qingguo Zhou

Global magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models play an important role in the infrastructure of space weather forecasting. Validating such models commonly utilizes in situ solar wind measurements made near the orbit of the Earth. The purpose of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-31 Chin-Chun Wu , Kan Liou , Brian E. Wood , Y. M. Wang

Accurate 24-hour solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the safe and economic operation of solar photovoltaic systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models represent the state-of-the-art in forecasting performance…

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