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We study the asymptotics of the ruin probability in the Cram\'er-Lundberg model with a modified notion of ruin. The modification is as follows. If the portfolio becomes negative, the asset is not immediately declared ruined but may survive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Frank Aurzada , Micha Buck

We develop an agent-based simulation of the catastrophe insurance and reinsurance industry and use it to study the problem of risk model homogeneity. The model simulates the balance sheets of insurance firms, who collect premiums from…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-21 Torsten Heinrich , Juan Sabuco , J. Doyne Farmer

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

Credit risk assessment of a company is commonly conducted by utilizing financial ratios that are derived from its financial statements. However, this approach may not fully encompass other significant aspects of a company. We propose the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

In this note we give, for a spectrally negative Levy process, a compact formula for the Parisian ruin probability, which is defined by the probability that the process exhibits an excursion below zero, with a length that exceeds a certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Ronnie Loeffen , Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

This paper extends the classical dividend problem by incorporating a novel, path-dependent mechanism of firm default. In the traditional framework, ruin occurs when the surplus process first reaches zero. In contrast, default in our model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Andi Bodnariu , Nils Engler , Neofytos Rodosthenous

We study a singular stochastic control problem faced by the owner of an insurance company that dynamically pays dividends and raises capital in the presence of the restriction that the surplus process must be above a given dividend payout…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Kristoffer Lindensjö , Filip Lindskog

This paper is concerned with the behaviour of a L\'{e}vy process when it crosses over a positive level, $u$, starting from 0, both as $u$ becomes large and as $u$ becomes small. Our main focus is on the time, $\tau_u$, it takes the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

Dynamical systems with components whose sizes evolve according to multiplicative stochastic rules have been recently combined with entry and exit processes. We show that the assumptions usually made in modeling exits are at odds with the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Corrado Di Guilmi , Edoardo Gaffeo , Mauro Gallegati

In this article, we consider the problem of a bank's loan portfolio in the context of liquidity risk, while allowing for the limited liability protection enjoyed by the bank. Accordingly, we construct a novel loan portfolio model with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-15 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Banking system crises are complex events that in a short span of time can inflict extensive damage to banks themselves and to the external economy. The crisis literature has so far identified a number of distinct effects or channels that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-16 T. R. Hurd

This paper presents an optimal strategy for portfolio liquidation under discrete time conditions. We assume that N risky assets held will be liquidated according to the same time interval and order quantity, and the basic price processes of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-30 Qixuan Luo , Yu Shi , Handong Li

We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-30 Lorella Fatone , Francesca Mariani

Let (X_t, t>=0) be a Levy process started at 0, with Levy measure nu and T_x the first hitting time of level x>0: T_x:=inf{t>=0; X_t>x}. Let $F(theta, mu, rho,.) be the joint Laplace transform of (T_x, K_x, L_x): F(theta,mu,rho,x)…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bernard Roynette , Pierre Vallois , Agnes Volpi

Since 2016 the operation of insurance companies in the European Union is regulated by the Solvency II directive. According to the EU directive the capital requirement should be calculated as a 99.5\% of Value at Risk. In this study, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-30 Kolos Csaba Ágoston , Veronika Varga

Motivated by recent developments in risk management based on the U.S. bankruptcy code, we revisit the De Finetti's optimal dividend problem by incorporating the reorganization process and regulator's intervention documented in Chapter 11…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Wenyuan Wang , Xiang Yu , Xiaowen Zhou

This paper provides a framework for modeling the financial system with multiple illiquid assets when liquidation of illiquid assets is caused by failure to meet a leverage requirement. This extends the network model of Cifuentes, Shin &…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Zachary Feinstein , Fatena El-Masri

In this paper, we consider the problem of minimizing the ruin probability of an insurance company in which the surplus process follows the Sparre Andersen model. Similar to Bai et al. \cite{bai2017optimal}, we recast this problem in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Linlin Tian , Lihua Bai

This paper studies de Finetti's optimal dividend problem with capital injection. We confirm the optimality of a double barrier strategy when the underlying risk model follows a L\'evy process that may have positive and negative jumps. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Kei Noba