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The robustness of human social networks against epidemic propagation relies on the propensity for physical contact adaptation. During the early phase of infection, asymptomatic carriers exhibit the same activity level as susceptible…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Masoumeh Moradian , Aresh Dadlani , Rasul Kairgeldin , Ahmad Khonsari

This work focuses on optimal controls of a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models under regime switching. By assuming that a decision maker can either influence the infectivity period or isolate infected individuals, our aim is to minimize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Ky Tran , George Yin

This paper is concerned with the well-posedness and optimal control problem of a reaction-diffusion system for an epidemic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) mathematical model in which the dynamics develops in a spatially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca

In this paper, we investigate the problem of mitigating epidemics by applying an event-triggered control strategy. We consider a susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) model, which builds upon the foundational SIR model by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-17 Lichen Ding , Kazumune Hashimoto , Shigemasa Takai

In the wake of epidemics, quarantine measures are typically recommended by health authorities or governments to help control the spread of the disease. Compared with mandatory quarantine, voluntary quarantine offers individuals the liberty…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Simiao Shi , Zhiyuan Wang , Xingru Chen , Feng Fu

We study a coupled epidemic-mobility model in which, at each time, individuals move in a network of spatially-distributed regions (sub-populations) according to a Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) and subsequently interact with the local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-30 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

Diseases and other contagion phenomena in nature and society can interact asymmetrically, such that one can benefit from the other, which in turn impairs the first, in analogy with predator-prey systems. Here, we consider two models for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-17 Paulo Cesar Ventura , Yamir Moreno , Francisco A. Rodrigues

Realistic human contact networks capable of spreading infectious disease, for example studied in social contact surveys, exhibit both significant degree heterogeneity and clustering, both of which greatly affect epidemic dynamics. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-16 A. Bishop , I. Z. Kiss , T. House

The role of cooperative effects (i.e. synergy) in transmission of infection is investigated analytically and numerically for epidemics following the rules of Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model defined on random regular graphs.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-03 Sergei N. Taraskin , Francisco J. Pérez-Reche

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

In this paper we make the first steps to bridge the gap between classic control theory and modern, network-based epidemic models. In particular, we apply nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) to a pairwise ODE model which we use to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Fanni Sélley , Ádám Besenyei , Istvan Z. Kiss , Péter L. Simon

We study a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a network of $n$ interacting subpopulations. We analyze the transient and asymptotic behavior of the infection dynamics in each node of the network. In contrast to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

We propose a new paradigm to design a network-based self-adaptive epidemic model that relies on the interplay between the network and its line graph. We implement this proposal on a Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model in which both nodes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-03-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We study the effect of heterogeneous temporal activations on epidemic spreading in temporal networks. We focus on the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on activity-driven networks with burstiness. By using an activity-based…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-28 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Miguel A. Muñoz , Raffaella Burioni

Up to now, the effects of having heterogeneous networks of contacts have been studied mostly for diseases which are not persistent in time, i.e., for diseases where the infectious period can be considered very small compared to the lifetime…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-18 J. Sanz , L. M. Floria , Y. Moreno

The metapopulation network model is effectively used to study the spatial spread of epidemics with individuals mobility. Considering the time-varying nature of individual activity and the preferences for attractive destinations in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-27 Lang Zeng , Ming Tang , Ying Liu , Seung Yeop Yang , Younghae Do

Models of biological processes are often subject to different sources of noise. Developing an understanding of the combined effects of different types of uncertainty is an open challenge. In this paper, we study a variant of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-28 Francisco Herrerías-Azcué , Tobias Galla

Incorporating decision-making dynamics during an outbreak poses a challenge for epidemiology, faced by several modeling approaches siloed by different disciplines. We propose an epi-economic model where high-frequency choices of individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-31 Lorenzo Amir Nemati Fard , Alberto Bisin , Michele Starnini , Michele Tizzoni