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Avoiding overfitting is a central challenge in machine learning, yet many large neural networks readily achieve zero training loss. This puzzling contradiction necessitates new approaches to the study of overfitting. Here we quantify…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J. Schwab

We study parameter estimation and asymptotic inference for sparse nonlinear regression. More specifically, we assume the data are given by $y = f( x^\top \beta^* ) + \epsilon$, where $f$ is nonlinear. To recover $\beta^*$, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Yonina C. Eldar , Tong Zhang

Random coefficient regression models are a popular tool for analyzing unobserved heterogeneity, and have seen renewed interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we obtain the optimal pointwise convergence rate for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-18 Hajo Holzmann , Alexander Meister

We study in-context learning for nonparametric regression with $\alpha$-H\"older smooth regression functions, for some $\alpha>0$. We prove that, with $n$ in-context examples and $d$-dimensional regression covariates, a pretrained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Michelle Ching , Ioana Popescu , Nico Smith , Tianyi Ma , William G. Underwood , Richard J. Samworth

We consider the problem of efficient statistical inference for comparing two regression curves estimated from two samples of dependent measurements. Based on a representation of the best pair of linear unbiased estimators in continuous time…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-29 Holger Dette , Kirsten Schorning , Maria Konstantinou

Additive regression models are actively researched in the statistical field because of their usefulness in the analysis of responses determined by non-linear relationships with multivariate predictors. In this kind of statistical models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 German A. Schnaidt Grez , Brani Vidakovic

The effect of measurement errors in discriminant analysis is investigated. Given observations $Z=X+\epsilon$, where $\epsilon$ denotes a random noise, the goal is to predict the density of $X$ among two possible candidates $f$ and $g$. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Sébastien Loustau , Clément Marteau

Learning from data in the presence of outliers is a fundamental problem in statistics. Until recently, no computationally efficient algorithms were known to compute the mean of a high dimensional distribution under natural assumptions in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Sidhanth Mohanty , Morris Yau

Robust regression techniques rely on least-squares optimization, which works well for Gaussian noise but fails in the presence of asymmetric structured noise. We propose a hybrid neural-symbolic architecture where a transformer encoder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Roman Gutierrez , Tony Kai Tang , Isabel Gutierrez

We study square loss in a realizable time-series framework with martingale difference noise. Our main result is a fast rate excess risk bound which shows that whenever a trajectory hypercontractivity condition holds, the risk of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Ingvar Ziemann , Stephen Tu

We study confidence interval construction for linear regression under Huber's contamination model, where an unknown fraction of noise variables is arbitrarily corrupted. While robust point estimation in this setting is well understood,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Dong Xie , Chao Gao , John Lafferty

This paper focuses on efficient computational approaches to compute approximate solutions of a linear inverse problem that is contaminated with mixed Poisson--Gaussian noise, and when there are additional outliers in the measured data. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-22 Marie Kubínová , James G. Nagy

Linear fixed point equations in Hilbert spaces arise in a variety of settings, including reinforcement learning, and computational methods for solving differential and integral equations. We study methods that use a collection of random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Wenlong Mou , Ashwin Pananjady , Martin J. Wainwright

We study the problem of high-dimensional robust mean estimation in the presence of a constant fraction of adversarial outliers. A recent line of work has provided sophisticated polynomial-time algorithms for this problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Yu Cheng , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rong Ge , Mahdi Soltanolkotabi

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

We study stochastic programs where the decision-maker cannot observe the distribution of the exogenous uncertainties but has access to a finite set of independent samples from this distribution. In this setting, the goal is to find a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Bart P. G. Van Parys , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan

We study a localized notion of uniform convergence known as an "optimistic rate" (Panchenko 2002; Srebro et al. 2010) for linear regression with Gaussian data. Our refined analysis avoids the hidden constant and logarithmic factor in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-09 Lijia Zhou , Frederic Koehler , Danica J. Sutherland , Nathan Srebro

Necessary and sufficient conditions for the square-integrability of recently proposed unbiased estimators are established. A geometric characterization of a distribution that optimizes the performance of these estimators is given. An…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Nabil Kahale

Improvements in technology lead to increasing availability of large data sets which makes the need for data reduction and informative subsamples ever more important. In this paper we construct $ D $-optimal subsampling designs for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Torsten Reuter , Rainer Schwabe
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