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Current Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) methods used to analyze time-to-event data estimate the survival probability for each time point separately, which result in estimates that are not necessarily monotone. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-14 Weixin Cai , Mark J. van der Laan

This paper considers the problem of measuring the credit risk in portfolios of loans, bonds, and other instruments subject to possible default under multi-factor models. Due to the amount of the portfolio, the heterogeneous effect of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chuan-Ju Wang

The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) technique is a machine learning approach for constructing feed-forward neural networks with a single hidden layer and their models. The ELM model can be constructed while being trained by concurrently…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Muideen Adegoke , Lateef O. Jolaoso , Mardiyyah Oduwole

Causal decomposition analysis aims to assess the effect of modifying risk factors on reducing social disparities in outcomes. Recently, this analysis has incorporated individual characteristics when modifying risk factors by utilizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-16 Soojin Park , Suyeon Kang , Chioun Lee

We study a natural extension of classical empirical risk minimization, where the hypothesis space is a random subspace of a given space. In particular, we consider possibly data dependent subspaces spanned by a random subset of the data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-09 Andrea Della Vecchia , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

The well-known empirical risk minimization (ERM) principle is the basis of many widely used machine learning algorithms, and plays an essential role in the classical PAC theory. A common description of a learning algorithm's performance is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Steve Hanneke , Mingyue Xu

The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is a growing statistical technique widely applied to regression problems. In essence, ELMs are single-layer neural networks where the hidden layer weights are randomly sampled from a specific distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-31 Daniela De Canditiis , Fabiano Veglianti

Differentially private empirical risk minimization (DP-ERM) is a fundamental problem in private optimization. While the theory of DP-ERM is well-studied, as large-scale models become prevalent, traditional DP-ERM methods face new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Yin Tat Lee , Daogao Liu , Zhou Lu

We propose TAMER, a Test-time Adaptive MoE-driven framework for Electronic Health Record (EHR) Representation learning. TAMER introduces a framework where a Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture is co-designed with Test-Time Adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Yinghao Zhu , Xiaochen Zheng , Ahmed Allam , Michael Krauthammer

We study over-parameterized classifiers where Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) for learning leads to zero training error. In these over-parameterized settings there are many global minima with zero training error, some of which generalize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Julius Martinetz , Thomas Martinetz

This paper examines optimal risk sharing for empirically realistic risk attitudes, providing results on Pareto optimality, competitive equilibria, utility frontiers, and the first and second theorems of welfare. Contrary to common…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-06 Jean-Gabriel Lauzier , Liyuan Lin , Peter Wakker , Ruodu Wang

As an effective nonparametric method, empirical likelihood (EL) is appealing in combining estimating equations flexibly and adaptively for incorporating data information. To select important variables and estimating equations in the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Jiaqi Li , Liya Fu

Recent work has shown that standard training via empirical risk minimization (ERM) can produce models that achieve high accuracy on average but low accuracy on underrepresented groups due to the prevalence of spurious features. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Yachuan Liu , Bohan Zhang , Qiaozhu Mei , Paramveer Dhillon

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

Empirical risk minimization (ERM) is known in practice to be non-robust to distributional shift where the training and the test distributions are different. A suite of approaches, such as importance weighting, and variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Runtian Zhai , Chen Dan , Zico Kolter , Pradeep Ravikumar

This brief paper summarize the chances offered by the Peak-Over-Threshold method, related with analysis of extremes. Identification of appropriate Value at Risk can be solved by fitting data with a Generalized Pareto Distribution. Also an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-04 Gianluca Rosso

To address the challenge of scarce computational resources in genomic modeling, we introduce GERM, a genomic foundation model with strong compression performance and fast adaptability. GERM improves upon models like DNABERT-2 by eliminating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Haozheng Luo , Chenghao Qiu , Maojiang Su , Zhihan Zhou , Zoe Mehta , Guo Ye , Jerry Yao-Chieh Hu , Han Liu

Supervised term weighting could improve the performance of text categorization. A way proven to be effective is to give more weight to terms with more imbalanced distributions across categories. This paper shows that supervised term…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-04-15 Haibing Wu , Xiaodong Gu

Prediction intervals are a valuable way of quantifying uncertainty in regression problems. Good prediction intervals should be both correct, containing the actual value between the lower and upper bound at least a target percentage of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Dongqi Su , Ying Yin Ting , Jason Ansel

The fast-growing Emerging Market (EM) economies and their improved transparency and liquidity have attracted international investors. However, the external price shocks can result in a higher level of volatility as well as domestic policy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-11 Souhir Ben Amor , Michael Althof , Wolfgang Karl Härdle
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