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Cross-validation is a widely used technique for evaluating the performance of prediction models, ranging from simple binary classification to complex precision medicine strategies. It helps correct for optimism bias in error estimates,…

This study introduces an approach to estimate the uncertainty in bibliometric indicator values that is caused by data errors. This approach utilizes Bayesian regression models, estimated from empirical data samples, which are used to…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Paul Donner

Score-based tests have been used to study parameter heterogeneity across many types of statistical models. This chapter describes a new self-normalization approach for score-based tests of mixed models, which addresses situations where…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Ting Wang , Edgar Merkle

Verification bias is a well-known problem that may occur in the evaluation of predictive ability of diagnostic tests. When a binary disease status is considered, various solutions can be found in the literature to correct inference based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Khanh To Duc , Monica Chiogna , Gianfranco Adimari

Sample complexity of bias estimation is a lower bound on the runtime of any bias detection method. Many regulatory frameworks require the bias to be tested for all subgroups, whose number grows exponentially with the number of protected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 German Martinez Matilla , Jakub Marecek

Citation numbers are extensively used for assessing the quality of scientific research. The use of raw citation counts is generally misleading, especially when applied to cross-disciplinary comparisons, since the average number of citations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-11-28 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

Societal biases that are contained in retrieved documents have received increased interest. Such biases, which are often prevalent in the training data and learned by the model, can cause societal harms, by misrepresenting certain groups,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Maria Heuss , Daniel Cohen , Masoud Mansoury , Maarten de Rijke , Carsten Eickhoff

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Studies accumulate over time and meta-analyses are mainly retrospective. These two characteristics introduce dependencies between the analysis time, at which a series of studies is up for meta-analysis, and results within the series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-21 Judith ter Schure , Peter D. Grünwald

Binary classification is a task that involves the classification of data into one of two distinct classes. It is widely utilized in various fields. However, conventional classifiers tend to make overconfident predictions for data that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Shoma Yokura , Akihisa Ichiki

Modern imaging techniques heavily rely on Bayesian statistical models to address difficult image reconstruction and restoration tasks. This paper addresses the objective evaluation of such models in settings where ground truth is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-29 Tom Sprunck , Marcelo Pereyra , Tobias Liaudat

The lack of non-parametric statistical tests for confounding bias significantly hampers the development of robust, valid and generalizable predictive models in many fields of research. Here I propose the partial and full confounder tests,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Tamas Spisak

Many multiple testing procedures make use of the p-values from the individual pairs of hypothesis tests, and are valid if the p-value statistics are independent and uniformly distributed under the null hypotheses. However, it has recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-25 Joshua D. Habiger , Edsel A. Pena

The traditional activity of model selection aims at discovering a single model superior to other candidate models. In the presence of pronounced noise, however, multiple models are often found to explain the same data equally well. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-14 Chao Zheng , Davide Ferrari , Yuhong Yang

Statistical methods are based on model assumptions, and it is statistical folklore that a method's model assumptions should be checked before applying it. This can be formally done by running one or more misspecification tests of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 M. Iqbal Shamsudheen , Christian Hennig

It is widely accepted that biased data leads to biased and thus potentially unfair models. Therefore, several measures for bias in data and model predictions have been proposed, as well as bias mitigation techniques whose aim is to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Marco Favier , Toon Calders , Sam Pinxteren , Jonathan Meyer

We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-13 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wuthrich

A well-known problem when learning from user clicks are inherent biases prevalent in the data, such as position or trust bias. Click models are a common method for extracting information from user clicks, such as document relevance in web…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Romain Deffayet , Philipp Hager , Jean-Michel Renders , Maarten de Rijke

Bias can be introduced in diverse ways in machine learning datasets, for example via selection or label bias. Although these bias types in themselves have an influence on important aspects of fair machine learning, their different impact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Magali Legast , Toon Calders , François Fouss

In machine learning, the selection of a promising model from a potentially large number of competing models and the assessment of its generalization performance are critical tasks that need careful consideration. Typically, model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-06 Pascal Rink , Werner Brannath