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Idioms are small, reusable Bayesian network (BN) fragments that represent generic types of uncertain reasoning. This paper shows how idioms can be used to build causal BNs for product safety and risk assessment that use a combination of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Joshua Hunte , Martin Neil , Norman Fenton

Background: Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that leverage Bayes' theorem to portray dependencies and cause-and-effect relationships between variables. These networks have gained prominence in the field of health…

Artificial Intelligence (AI), and in particular, the explainability thereof, has gained phenomenal attention over the last few years. Whilst we usually do not question the decision-making process of these systems in situations where only…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Iena Petronella Derks , Alta de Waal

For the diagnostic inference under uncertainty Bayesian networks are investigated. The method is based on an adequate uniform representation of the necessary knowledge. This includes both generic and experience-based specific knowledge,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Sebastian Flügge , Sandra Zimmer , Uwe Petersohn

Various AI models are increasingly being considered as part of clinical decision-support tools. However, the trustworthiness of such models is rarely considered. Clinicians are more likely to use a model if they can understand and trust its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Evangelia Kyrimi , Somayyeh Mossadegh , Nigel Tai , William Marsh

Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become increasingly popular over the last few decades as a tool for reasoning under uncertainty in fields as diverse as medicine, biology, epidemiology, economics and the social sciences. This is especially true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Neville K. Kitson , Anthony C. Constantinou , Zhigao Guo , Yang Liu , Kiattikun Chobtham

Bayesian networks (BNs) have received increasing research attention that is not matched by adoption in practice and yet have potential to significantly benefit healthcare. Hitherto, research works have not investigated the types of medical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Scott McLachlan , Kudakwashe Dube , Graham A Hitman , Norman E Fenton , Evangelia Kyrimi

Doctors often rely on their past experience in order to diagnose patients. For a doctor with enough experience, almost every patient would have similarities to key cases seen in the past, and each new patient could be viewed as a mixture of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Ramin Moghaddass , Cynthia Rudin

In this paper, we propose a model for building natural language explanations for Bayesian Network Reasoning in terms of factor arguments, which are argumentation graphs of flowing evidence, relating the observed evidence to a target…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Jaime Sevilla , Nikolay Babakov , Ehud Reiter , Alberto Bugarin

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a probabilistic graphical model widely used for representing expert knowledge and reasoning under uncertainty. Traditionally, they are based on directed acyclic graphs that capture dependencies between random…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Christel Baier , Clemens Dubslaff , Holger Hermanns , Nikolai Käfer

Bayesian Networks (BNs) are an important tool for assisting probabilistic reasoning, but despite being considered transparent models, people have trouble understanding them. Further, current User Interfaces (UIs) still do not clarify the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Erik P. Nyberg , Steven Mascaro , Ingrid Zukerman , Michael Wybrow , Duc-Minh Vo , Ann Nicholson

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

Objective: This study investigates the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) as an alternative to human expert elicitation for extracting structured causal knowledge and facilitating causal modeling in biometric and healthcare…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Olha Shaposhnyk , Daria Zahorska , Svetlana Yanushkevich

Explaining predictions from Bayesian networks, for example to physicians, is non-trivial. Various explanation methods for Bayesian network inference have appeared in literature, focusing on different aspects of the underlying reasoning.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Raphaela Butz , Renée Schulz , Arjen Hommersom , Marko van Eekelen

The proliferation of Large Language Models (LLMs) in medicine has enabled impressive capabilities, yet a critical gap remains in their ability to perform systematic, transparent, and verifiable reasoning, a cornerstone of clinical practice.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Wenxuan Wang , Zizhan Ma , Meidan Ding , Shiyi Zheng , Shengyuan Liu , Jie Liu , Jiaming Ji , Wenting Chen , Xiang Li , Linlin Shen , Yixuan Yuan

Bayesian Belief Networks have been largely overlooked by Expert Systems practitioners on the grounds that they do not correspond to the human inference mechanism. In this paper, we introduce an explanation mechanism designed to generate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Peter Sember , Ingrid Zukerman

No comprehensive review of Bayesian networks (BNs) in healthcare has been published in the past, making it difficult to organize the research contributions in the present and identify challenges and neglected areas that need to be addressed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Evangelia Kyrimi , Scott McLachlan , Kudakwashe Dube , Mariana R. Neves , Ali Fahmi , Norman Fenton

Bayesian networks (BNs) are graphical \emph{first-order} probabilistic models that allow for a compact representation of large probability distributions, and for efficient inference, both exact and approximate. We introduce a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Claudia Faggian , Daniele Pautasso , Gabriele Vanoni

Dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs) offer an elegant way to integrate various aspects of language in one model. Many existing algorithms developed for learning and inference in DBNs are applicable to probabilistic language modeling. To…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Leonid Peshkin , Avi Pfeffer

We propose a Bayesian network model to make inferences and predictions about cardiovascular risk. Both the structure and the probability tables in the underlying model are built using a large dataset collected in Spain from annual work…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 J. M. Ordovas , D. Rios Insua , A. Santos-Lozano , A. Lucia , A. Torres , A. Kosgodagan , J. M. Camacho
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