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We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

We propose a finite sample based predictor for estimated linear one dimensional time series models and compute the associated total forecasting error. The expression for the error that we present takes into account the estimation error.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-20 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Nonlinear dynamic volatility has been observed in many financial time series. The recently proposed quantile periodogram offers an alternative way to examine this phenomena in the frequency domain. The quantile periodogram is constructed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Ta-Hsin Li

We propose a novel estimation procedure for certain spectral distributions associated with a class of high dimensional linear time series. The processes under consideration are of the form $X_t = \sum_{\ell=0}^\infty \mathbf{A}_\ell…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Jamshid Namdari , Alexander Aue , Debashis Paul

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

We introduce Contrastive Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis, a novel unsupervised method for dimensionality reduction and signal decomposition of time series data. By utilizing an appropriate background dataset, the method transforms a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-01 Abdi-Hakin Dirie , Abubakar Abid , James Zou

Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

Subsampling algorithms for various parametric regression models with massive data have been extensively investigated in recent years. However, all existing studies on subsampling heavily rely on clean massive data. In practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-11 Jiangshan Ju , Mingqiu Wang , Shengli Zhao

Irregularly sampled time series are increasingly prevalent, particularly in medical domains. While various specialized methods have been developed to handle these irregularities, effectively modeling their complex dynamics and pronounced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zekun Li , Shiyang Li , Xifeng Yan

We consider generalized linear regression analysis with left-censored covariate due to the lower limit of detection. Complete case analysis by eliminating observations with values below limit of detection yields valid estimates for…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-09 Shengchun Kong , Bin Nan

Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-19 Felix Bestehorn , Maike Bestehorn , Christian Kirches

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

All 21-cm signal experiments rely on electronic receivers that affect the data via both multiplicative and additive biases through the receiver's gain and noise temperature. While experiments attempt to remove these biases, the residuals of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-14 Keith Tauscher , David Rapetti , Bang D. Nhan , Alec Handy , Neil Bassett , Joshua Hibbard , David Bordenave , Richard F. Bradley , Jack O. Burns

The in-depth analysis of time series has gained a lot of research interest in recent years, with the identification of periodic patterns being one important aspect. Many of the methods for identifying periodic patterns require time series'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Maximilian Toller , Roman Kern

Autocovariance of the error term in a time series model plays a key role in the estimation and inference for the model that it belongs to. Typically, some arbitrary parametric structure is assumed upon the error to simplify the estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Yoon Bae Jun , Chae Young Lim , Kun Ho Kim

Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

We present a new method for detecting superdiffusive behaviour and for determining rates of superdiffusion in time series data. Our method applies equally to stochastic and deterministic time series data (with no prior knowledge required of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Ian Melbourne

The sensitivities of two periodograms are compared for weak signal planet detection in transit surveys: the widely used Box-Least Squares (BLS) algorithm following light curve detrending and the Transit Comb Filter (TCF) algorithm following…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-13 Yash Gondhalekar , Eric D. Feigelson , Gabriel A. Caceres , Marco Montalto , Snehanshu Saha

In order to reach the sensitivity required to detect gravitational waves, pulsar timing array experiments need to mitigate as much noise as possible in timing data. A dominant amount of noise is likely due to variations in the dispersion…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 K. J. Lee , C. G. Bassa , G. H. Janssen , R. Karuppusamy , M. Kramer , K. Liu , D. Perrodin , R. Smits , B. W. Stappers , R. van Haasteren , L. Lentati

We develop the basic building blocks of a frequency domain framework for drawing statistical inferences on the second-order structure of a stationary sequence of functional data. The key element in such a context is the spectral density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-10 Victor M. Panaretos , Shahin Tavakoli