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This paper concerns robust inference on average treatment effects following model selection. In the selection on observables framework, we show how to construct confidence intervals based on a doubly-robust estimator that are robust to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Max H. Farrell

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely used in clinical trials to balance prognostic factors, and regression adjustments are often adopted to further enhance the estimation and inference efficiency. In practice, the covariates may…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Wanjia Fu , Yingying Ma , Hanzhong Liu

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock

Cellwise outliers are widespread in data and traditional robust methods may fail when applied to datasets under such contamination. We propose a variable selection procedure, that uses a pairwise robust estimator to obtain an initial…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Peng Su , Garth Tarr , Samuel Muller

The ability to generalize experimental results from randomized control trials (RCTs) across locations is crucial for informing policy decisions in targeted regions. Such generalization is often hindered by the lack of identifiability due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-10 Xinkun Nie , Guido Imbens , Stefan Wager

The area under a receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is a useful tool to assess the performance of continuous-scale diagnostic tests on binary classification. In this article, we propose an empirical likelihood (EL) method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-05 Chul Moon , Xinlei Wang , Johan Lim

Risk prediction that capitalizes on emerging genetic findings holds great promise for improving public health and clinical care. However, recent risk prediction research has shown that predictive tests formed on existing common genetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Changshuai Wei , Qing Lu

This paper studies the case of possibly high-dimensional covariates in the regression discontinuity design (RDD) analysis. In particular, we propose estimation and inference methods for the RDD models with covariate selection which perform…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Yoichi Arai , Taisuke Otsu , Myung Hwan Seo

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Nonparametric random coefficient (RC)-density estimation has mostly been considered in the marginal density case under strict independence of RCs and covariates. This paper deals with the estimation of RC-densities conditional on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-21 Stephan Martin

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are useful for evaluation in binary classification and changepoint detection, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC) is piecewise constant (gradient zero almost…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Jadon Fowler , Toby Dylan Hocking

Two key tasks in high-dimensional regularized regression are tuning the regularization strength for accurate predictions and estimating the out-of-sample risk. It is known that the standard approach -- $k$-fold cross-validation -- is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Kevin Luo , Yufan Li , Pragya Sur

We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Damla Şentürk , Hans-Georg Müller

The goal of this paper is to develop distributionally robust optimization (DRO) estimators, specifically for multidimensional Extreme Value Theory (EVT) statistics. EVT supports using semi-parametric models called max-stable distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-02 Patrick Kuiper , Ali Hasan , Wenhao Yang , Yuting Ng , Hoda Bidkhori , Jose Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

Machine learning models used in medical applications often face challenges due to the covariate shift, which occurs when there are discrepancies between the distributions of training and target data. This can lead to decreased predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Mingyang Cai , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

Functional quadratic regression models postulate a polynomial relationship between a scalar response rather than a linear one. As in functional linear regression, vertical and specially high-leverage outliers may affect the classical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Graciela Boente , Daniela Parada

The Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) model is a wide used estimation procedure in econometrics, insurance and finance, where very often, the regression model contains more than one equation. Unknown parameters, regression coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Giovanni Saraceno , Fatemah Alqallaf , Claudio Agostinelli

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

This note introduces a doubly robust (DR) estimator for regression discontinuity (RD) designs. RD designs provide a quasi-experimental framework for estimating treatment effects, where treatment assignment depends on whether a running…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Masahiro Kato

In this paper, we propose a mean score equation-based approach to estimate the the volume under the receiving operating characteristic (ROC) surface (VUS) of a diagnostic test, under nonignorable (NI) verification bias. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Duc-Khanh To , Gianfranco Adimari , Monica Chiogna