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Related papers: OASIS: Optimal Analysis-Specific Importance Sampli…

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Estimating rare events in complex systems is a key challenge in reliability analysis. The challenge grows in multimodal problems, where traditional methods often rely on a small set of design points and risk overlooking critical failure…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-04 Sara Helal , Victor Elvira

We introduce a new class of adaptive importance samplers leveraging adaptive optimisation tools, which we term AdaOAIS. We build on Optimised Adaptive Importance Samplers (OAIS), a class of techniques that adapt proposals to improve the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-28 Carlos A. C. C. Perello , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz

Kernel matrices (e.g. Gram or similarity matrices) are essential for many state-of-the-art approaches to classification, clustering, and dimensionality reduction. For large datasets, the cost of forming and factoring such kernel matrices…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-21 Raajen Patel , Thomas A. Goldstein , Eva L. Dyer , Azalia Mirhoseini , Richard G. Baraniuk

Entity resolution (ER) presents unique challenges for evaluation methodology. While crowdsourcing platforms acquire ground truth, sound approaches to sampling must drive labelling efforts. In ER, extreme class imbalance between matching and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Neil G. Marchant , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

We describe a simple Importance Sampling strategy for Monte Carlo simulations based on a least squares optimization procedure. With several numerical examples, we show that such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) provides efficiency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

The proliferation of spectroscopic data across various scientific and engineering fields necessitates automated processing. We introduce OASIS (Omni-purpose Analysis of Spectra via Intelligent Systems), a machine learning (ML) framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Chris Young , Juejing Liu , Marie L. Mortensen , Yifu Feng , Elizabeth Li , Zheming Wang , Xiaofeng Guo , Kevin M. Rosso , Xin Zhang

We study the fundamental problem of sampling independent events, called subset sampling. Specifically, consider a set of $n$ events $S=\{x_1, \ldots, x_n\}$, where each event $x_i$ has an associated probability $p(x_i)$. The subset sampling…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Lu Yi , Hanzhi Wang , Zhewei Wei

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

Offline safe reinforcement learning (RL) aims to train a policy that satisfies constraints using a pre-collected dataset. Most current methods struggle with the mismatch between imperfect demonstrations and the desired safe and rewarding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Yihang Yao , Zhepeng Cen , Wenhao Ding , Haohong Lin , Shiqi Liu , Tingnan Zhang , Wenhao Yu , Ding Zhao

In continual instruction tuning (CIT) scenarios, where new instruction tuning data continuously arrive in an online streaming manner, training delays from large-scale data significantly hinder real-time adaptation. Data selection can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Minjae Lee , Minhyuk Seo , Tingyu Qu , Tinne Tuytelaars , Jonghyun Choi

We explore efficient estimation of statistical quantities, particularly rare event probabilities, for stochastic reaction networks. Consequently, we propose an importance sampling (IS) approach to improve the Monte Carlo (MC) estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Nadhir Ben Rached , Raúl Tempone , Sophia Wiechert

This paper addresses how to improve the computational efficiency and estimation reliability in cascading outage analysis. We first formulate a cascading outage as a Markov chain with specific state space and transition probability by…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-03 Jinpeng Guo , Feng Liu , Jianhui Wang , Junhao Lin , Shengwei Mei

Many applications in computational sciences and statistical inference require the computation of expectations with respect to complex high-dimensional distributions with unknown normalization constants, as well as the estimation of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-26 Yu Cao , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Importance sampling is a rare event simulation technique used in Monte Carlo simulations to bias the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By assigning appropriate weights to sampled points, importance sampling allows…

The generation of accurate neutrino-nucleus cross-section models needed for neutrino oscillation experiments require simultaneously the description of many degrees of freedom and precise calculations to model nuclear responses. The detailed…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2020-07-22 Sebastian Pina-Otey , Federico Sánchez , Thorsten Lux , Vicens Gaitan

A recently introduced Importance Sampling strategy based on a least squares optimization is applied to the Monte Carlo simulation of Libor Market Models. Such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) allows the automatic optimization of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Luca Capriotti

Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) is a popular algorithm used to estimates the intractable marginal likelihood of deep generative models. Although AIS is guaranteed to provide unbiased estimate for any set of hyperparameters, the common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Shirin Goshtasbpour , Fernando Perez-Cruz

Annealed Sequential Monte Carlo (ASMC) samplers are special cases of SMC samplers where the sequence of distributions can be embedded in a smooth path of distributions. Using this underlying path and a performance model based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-03 Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Kevin Chern , Arnaud Doucet

Importance sampling (IS) is a powerful Monte Carlo (MC) methodology for approximating integrals, for instance in the context of Bayesian inference. In IS, the samples are simulated from the so-called proposal distribution, and the choice of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Ali Mousavi , Reza Monsefi , Víctor Elvira
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