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Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

The growing resolution and volume of climate data from remote sensing and simulations pose significant storage, processing, and computational challenges. Traditional compression or subsampling methods often compromise data fidelity,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-22 Aashish Panta , Amy Gooch , Giorgio Scorzelli , Michela Taufer , Valerio Pascucci

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian

Data assimilation (DA) improves prediction of chaotic systems by combining model forecasts with sparse, noisy observations. Many DA methods are inherently probabilistic, but accurate probabilistic DA is often computationally expensive…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-24 Aditya Sai Pranith Ayapilla , Kazuya Miyashita , Yuki Yasuda , Ryo Onishi

We develop a new efficient methodology for Bayesian global sensitivity analysis for large-scale multivariate data. The focus is on computationally demanding models with correlated variables. A multivariate Gaussian process is used as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Oluwole Oyebamiji , Christopher Nemeth , Paula Harrison , Rob Dunford , George Cojocaru

Multivariate time series modeling and prediction problems are abundant in many machine learning application domains. Accurate interpretation of such prediction outcomes from a machine learning model that explicitly captures temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Tryambak Gangopadhyay , Sin Yong Tan , Zhanhong Jiang , Rui Meng , Soumik Sarkar

Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

Reanalysis products such as the ERA5 reanalysis are commonly used as proxies for observed atmospheric conditions. These products are convenient to use due to their global coverage, the large number of available atmospheric variables and the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Silius M. Vandeskog , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Alex Lenkoski

The prevalence of spatially referenced multivariate data has impelled researchers to develop a procedure for the joint modeling of multiple spatial processes. This ordinarily involves modeling marginal and cross-process dependence for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Ghulam A. Qadir , Ying Sun

Air pollution is a great concern because of its impact on human health and on the environment. Statistical models play an important role in improving knowledge of this complex spatio-temporal phenomenon and in supporting public agencies and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-17 Michela Cameletti , Rosaria Ignaccolo , Stefano Bande

Circular data arise in many areas of application. Recently, there has been interest in looking at circular data collected separately over time and over space. Here, we extend some of this work to the spatio-temporal setting, introducing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Alan E. Gelfand

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

Argo floats measure seawater temperature and salinity in the upper 2,000 m of the global ocean. Statistical analysis of the resulting spatio-temporal dataset is challenging due to its nonstationary structure and large size. We propose…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-31 Mikael Kuusela , Michael L. Stein

In the analysis of multivariate spatial and univariate spatio-temporal data, it is commonly recognized that asymmetric dependence may exist, which can be addressed using an asymmetric (matrix or space-time, respectively) covariance function…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Drew Yarger

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

We present a multivariate hierarchical space-time model to describe the joint series of monthly extreme temperatures and amounts of rainfall. Data are available for 360 monitoring stations over 60 years, with missing data affecting almost…

Generating large-scale samples of stationary random fields is of great importance in the fields such as geomaterial modeling and uncertainty quantification. Traditional methodologies based on covariance matrix decomposition have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Bin Zhu , Jiahao Liu , Zhengshou Lai , Tao Qian

The last decades have seen an unprecedented increase in the availability of data sets that are inherently global and temporally evolving, from remotely sensed networks to climate model ensembles. This paper provides a view of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Emilio Porcu , Alfredo Alegría , Reinhard Furrer