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We establish an Azuma type inequality under a Lipshitz condition for martingales in the framework of noncommutative probability spaces and apply it to deduce a noncommutative Heoffding inequality as well as a noncommutative McDiarmid type…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Ghadir Sadeghi , Mohammad Sal Moslehian

The matrix exponential spatial models exhibit similarities to the conventional spatial autoregressive model in spatial econometrics but offer analytical, computational, and interpretive advantages. This paper provides a comprehensive review…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-28 Ye Yang , Osman Dogan , Suleyman Taspinar , Fei Jin

We consider the stochastic integrals of multivariate point processes and study their concentration phenomena. In particular, we obtain a Bernstein type of concentration inequality through Dol\'eans-Dade exponential formula and a uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-24 Hanchao Wang , Zhengyan Lin , Zhonggen Su

We consider the problem of selective inference after solving a (randomized) convex statistical learning program in the form of a penalized or constrained loss function. Our first main result is a change-of-measure formula that describes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Xiaoying Tian Harris , Snigdha Panigrahi , Jelena Markovic , Nan Bi , Jonathan Taylor

We present Hoeffding-type and Bernstein-type inequalities for right-censored data. The inequalities bound the difference between an inverse of the probability of censoring weighting (IPCW) estimator and its expectation. We first discuss the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Yair Goldberg

In this work, we examine sampling problems with non-smooth potentials. We propose a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from non-smooth potentials. We provide a non-asymptotical analysis of our algorithm and establish a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Jiaming Liang , Yongxin Chen

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Chromy (1979) proposed a unequal probability sampling algorithm, which enables to select a sample in one pass of the sampling frame only. This is the default sequential method used in the SURVEYSELECT procedure of the SAS software. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Guillaume Chauvet

We consider a class of non-homogeneous Markov chains, that contains many natural examples. Next, using martingale methods, we establish some deviation and moment inequalities for separately Lipschitz functions of such a chain, under moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Jérôme Dedecker , Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan

Gaussian Boson Samplers aim to demonstrate quantum advantage by performing a sampling task believed to be classically hard. The probabilities of individual outcomes in the sampling experiment are determined by the Hafnian of an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-07 Alexey Uvarov , Dmitry Vinichenko

We give sufficient criteria for the Dol\'eans-Dade exponential of a stochastic integral with respect to a counting process local martingale to be a true martingale. The criteria are adapted particularly to the case of counting processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Alexander Sokol , Niels Richard Hansen

This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

This work provides some general theorems about unconditional and conditional weak convergence of empirical processes in the case of Poisson sampling designs. The theorems presented in this work are stronger than previously published…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Leo Pasquazzi

This paper considers importance sampling for estimation of rare-event probabilities in a specific collection of Markovian jump processes used for e.g. modelling of credit risk. Previous attempts at designing importance sampling algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Henrik Hult , Pierre Nyquist

We study a class of martingale inequalities involving the running maximum process. They are derived from pathwise inequalities introduced by Henry_Labordere et al. (2013) and provide an upper bound on the expectation of a function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Jan Obloj , Peter Spoida , Nizar Touzi

Equality-constrained models naturally arise in problems in which measurements are taken at different levels of resolution. The challenge in this setting is that the models usually induce a joint distribution which is intractable. Resorting…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-28 Shenggang Hu , Hongsheng Dai , Fanlin Meng , Louis Aslett , Murray Pollock , Gareth O. Roberts

Sampling orthogonal polynomial bases via Monte Carlo is of interest for uncertainty quantification of models with high-dimensional random inputs, using Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions. It is known that bounding a probabilistic parameter,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Jerrad Hampton , Alireza Doostan

Game-theoretic attribution techniques based on Shapley values are used to interpret black-box machine learning models, but their exact calculation is generally NP-hard, requiring approximation methods for non-trivial models. As the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Rory Mitchell , Joshua Cooper , Eibe Frank , Geoffrey Holmes

Drawing from the theory of stochastic differential equations, we introduce a novel sampling method for known distributions and a new algorithm for diffusion generative models with unknown distributions. Our approach is inspired by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-12 Xicheng Zhang

Optimization algorithms and Monte Carlo sampling algorithms have provided the computational foundations for the rapid growth in applications of statistical machine learning in recent years. There is, however, limited theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Yi-An Ma , Yuansi Chen , Chi Jin , Nicolas Flammarion , Michael I. Jordan
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