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As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

There are many ways machine learning and big data analytics are used in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, including predictions, risk management, diagnostics, and prevention. This study focuses on predicting COVID-19 patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Vithya Yogarajan , Jacob Montiel , Tony Smith , Bernhard Pfahringer

The changing nature of the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of comprehensively considering its impacts and considering changes over time. Most COVID-19 related research addresses narrowly focused research questions and is…

We propose a deterministic SAIVRD model and a stochastic SARV model of the epidemic COVID-19 involving asymptomatic infections and vaccinations to conduct data forecasts using time-dependent parameters. The forecast by our deterministic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-28 Bo-Sheng Chen , Zong-Ying Wu , Yen-Jia Chen , Jann-Long Chern

Predictive contagion models are ubiquitous in epidemiology, social sciences, engineering, and management. This paper formulates a prescriptive contagion analytics model where a decision-maker allocates shared resources across multiple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Alexandre Jacquillat , Michael Lingzhi Li , Martin Ramé , Kai Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic has magnified an already existing trend of people looking for healthcare solutions online. One class of solutions are symptom checkers, which have become very popular in the context of COVID-19. Traditional symptom…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Anitha Kannan , Richard Chen , Vignesh Venkataraman , Geoffrey J. Tso , Xavier Amatriain

In this paper we propose a data-driven model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and use it to design optimal control strategies of human-mobility restrictions that both curb the epidemic and minimize the economic costs associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Mikhail Hayhoe , Francisco Barreras , Victor M. Preciado

Clinical decision-making is a feedback system where risk estimates influence treatment, which in turn changes disease trajectories, and both shape clinicians' measurement practices. Static prediction often fails clinically: models trained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Pujun Feng , Xiaoyu Guo , Seyed Ehsan Saffari , Min Hun Lee , Siew-Kei Lam , Erik Cambria , Xibin Sun , Yangtao Zhou , Tong Yang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Tao Tan , Yue Sun , Bin Cui

Reliable short term forecasting can provide potentially lifesaving insights into logistical planning, and in particular, into the optimal allocation of resources such as hospital staff and equipment. By reinterpreting COVID-19 daily cases…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-06 Yi Liang , James Unwin

During an infectious disease outbreak, biases in the data and complexities of the underlying dynamics pose significant challenges in mathematically modelling the outbreak and designing policy. Motivated by the ongoing response to COVID-19,…

Accurate forecasts for COVID-19 are necessary for better preparedness and resource management. Specifically, deciding the response over months or several months requires accurate long-term forecasts which is particularly challenging as the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-10 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

The application and successful utilization of technological resources in developing solutions to health, safety, and economic issues caused by COVID-19 indicate the importance of technology in curbing COVID-19. Also, the medical field has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Manoj Muniswamaiah , Tilak Agerwala , Charles C. Tappert

Policy responses to COVID-19, particularly those related to non-pharmaceutical interventions, are unprecedented in scale and scope. Epidemiologists are more involved in policy decisions and evidence generation than ever before. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Noah A Haber , Emma Clarke-Deelder , Joshua A Salomon , Avi Feller , Elizabeth A Stuart

Numerous COVID-19 clinical decision support systems have been developed. However many of these systems do not have the merit for validity due to methodological shortcomings including algorithmic bias. Methods Logistic regression models were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Yifan Li , Garrett Yoon , Mustafa Nasir-Moin , David Rosenberg , Sean Neifert , Douglas Kondziolka , Eric Karl Oermann

We have devised a data-driven framework for uncovering hidden control strategies used by an evolutionary system described by an evolutionary probability distribution. This innovative framework enables deciphering of the concealed mechanisms…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-28 Nourddine Azzaoui , Tomoko Matsui , Daisuke Murakami

More than ever COVID-19 is putting pressure on health systems all around the world, especially in Brazil. In this study we propose an analytical approach based on statistics and machine learning that uses lab exam data coming from patients…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Vitor Bezzan , Cleber D. Rocco

New coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has constituted a global pandemic and has spread to most countries and regions in the world. By understanding the development trend of a regional epidemic, the epidemic can be controlled using the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Bingjie Yan , Xiangyan Tang , Boyi Liu , Jun Wang , Yize Zhou , Guopeng Zheng , Qi Zou , Yao Lu , Wenxuan Tu

In the era of big data, standard analysis tools may be inadequate for making inference and there is a growing need for more efficient and innovative ways to collect, process, analyze and interpret the massive and complex data. We provide an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Zhe Fei , Yevgen Ryeznik , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Chee Wei Tan , Weng Kee Wong

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has instigated unprecedented changes in many countries around the globe, putting a significant burden on the health sectors, affecting the macro economic conditions, and altering social interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-23 Dmitry Gordeev , Philipp Singer , Marios Michailidis , Mathias Müller , SriSatish Ambati

Due to the characteristics of COVID-19, the epidemic develops rapidly and overwhelms health service systems worldwide. Many patients suffer from systemic life-threatening problems and need to be carefully monitored in ICUs. Thus the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Liantao Ma , Xinyu Ma , Junyi Gao , Chaohe Zhang , Zhihao Yu , Xianfeng Jiao , Wenjie Ruan , Yasha Wang , Wen Tang , Jiangtao Wang